Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Championship

Referee: J Smith

Leeds

T T U T T

2–2

Full-time

Cardiff

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Leeds Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,77 xG 1,34

72% Possession 28%

25 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

12 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 0

6 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
9	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
13	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
14	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
15	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
16	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
17	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
18	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
19	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
20	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
10	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
4	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
6	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
7	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
8	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
9	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
10	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.