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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Legia

U S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,2

Scored

1,8

0,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

57%

35%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

52%

35%

Both score Ø 41%

52%

30%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Legia 2. · Stal Mielec 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	24	18	4	2	+32	58
2	Legia	23	13	7	3	+9	46
3	Lech Poznan	24	11	7	6	+10	40
4	Pogon Szczecin	24	11	6	7	+2	39
5	Widzew Lodz	23	10	6	7	+4	36
6	Cracovia	24	9	7	8	+7	34
7	Warta Poznan	24	9	7	8	+5	34
8	Radomiak Radom	24	9	5	10	-1	32
9	Wisla Plock	23	9	4	10	+1	31
10	Stal Mielec	23	8	5	10	-2	29
11	Slask Wroclaw	24	7	8	9	-9	29
12	Zaglebie	24	8	5	11	-12	29
13	Jagiellonia	24	6	10	8	+1	28
14	Piast Gliwice	24	7	6	11	-1	27
15	Korona Kielce	24	7	5	12	-10	26
16	Gornik Zabrze	24	6	7	11	-7	25
17	Lechia Gdansk	24	7	4	13	-15	25
18	Legnica	24	4	7	13	-14	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	11	1	0	+24	34
2	Legia	11	7	4	0	+9	25
3	Wisla Plock	11	7	1	3	+8	22
4	Cracovia	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	Jagiellonia	12	6	1	5	+5	19
6	Lech Poznan	12	6	1	5	+4	19
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	3	3	+1	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	+0	17
10	Slask Wroclaw	12	4	5	3	-2	17
11	Stal Mielec	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Lechia Gdansk	12	4	3	5	-4	15
13	Radomiak Radom	12	4	2	6	-2	14
14	Legnica	12	3	5	4	-3	14
15	Piast Gliwice	12	3	3	6	-1	12
16	Warta Poznan	12	2	6	4	-1	12
17	Gornik Zabrze	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Zaglebie	13	2	4	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Warta Poznan	12	7	1	4	+6	22
3	Lech Poznan	12	5	6	1	+6	21
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	3	4	+1	21
5	Legia	12	6	3	3	+0	21
6	Zaglebie	11	6	1	4	-3	19
7	Widzew Lodz	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Radomiak Radom	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	+0	15
10	Gornik Zabrze	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Cracovia	12	3	4	5	-1	13
12	Stal Mielec	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	3	6	-7	12
14	Lechia Gdansk	12	3	1	8	-11	10
15	Jagiellonia	12	0	9	3	-4	9
16	Wisla Plock	12	2	3	7	-7	9
17	Korona Kielce	12	2	3	7	-10	9
18	Legnica	12	1	2	9	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.