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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
1–2
Full-time
Legia
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 12. · Legia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Cracovia 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Pogon Szczecin 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Zaglebie 5 2 2 1 +0 8
5 Stal Mielec 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 Korona Kielce 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Legia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Rakow 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Slask Wroclaw 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Radomiak Radom 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Widzew Lodz 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Lechia Gdansk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Warta Poznan 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Legnica 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Piast Gliwice 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Legia
9′
🟨 Lindsay Rose
30′
M. Johansson 0–1
E. Muçi
42′
B. Kapustka 0–2
E. Muçi
Half-time 0–2
Jordi Sánchez 🔁
↦ J. Shehu
46′
P. Lipski 🔁
↦ J. Letniowski
46′
47′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
Bartłomiej Pawłowski 🟨
63′
71′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ B. Kapustka
78′
🔁 R. Augustyniak
↦ E. Muçi
Patryk Stępiński ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
79′
Jordi Sánchez 🟨
80′
87′
🔁 B. Slisz
↦ I. Kharatin
87′
🔁 R. Pich
↦ M. Baku
S. Szota 🔁
↦ B. Pawłowski
88′
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ D. Kun
88′
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski 🟨
89′
1–2 P. Lipski 0
K. Danielak
100′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

3-4-3
26 H. Ravas G
95 P. Stępiński D
3 B. Czorbadżijski D
4 M. Żyro D
8 K. Danielak M
22 D. Kun M
6 J. Shehu M
92 Fábio Nunes M
13 E. Terpiłowski F
19 B. Pawłowski F
10 J. Letniowski F
Bench (9)
9 Jordi Sánchez
20 P. Lipski
5 S. Szota
77 K. Hansen
97 R. Gołębiowski
21 J. Sypek
72 V. Lytvynenko
23 P. Zieliński
33 M. Kreuzriegler

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
6 M. Johansson D
29 L. Rose D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
25 F. Mladenović D
14 I. Kharatin M
13 P. Wszołek M
27 Josué M
67 B. Kapustka M
28 M. Baku M
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
39 M. Rosołek
8 R. Augustyniak
99 B. Slisz
11 R. Pich
31 C. Miszta
23 J. Abu Hanna
18 P. Sokołowski
5 Yuri Ribeiro
86 I. Strzałek

Coach: K. Runjaic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.