Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Warta Poznan
Wisla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | +24 | 38 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +19 | 35 |
| 3 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +12 | 33 |
| 4 |
Rakow
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |
Radomiak Radom
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 24 |
| 8 |
Stal Mielec
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 |
Wisla Plock
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 10 |
Cracovia
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |
Jagiellonia
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 17 |
| 14 |
Zaglebie
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 15 |
Nieciecza
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Legia
|
15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Leczna | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -20 | 12 |
| 18 |
Warta Poznan
|
16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lech Poznan
Warta Poznan
Warta Poznan
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
Warta Poznan
Warta Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
Warta Poznan
Stal Mielec
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.