Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Legia
Zaglebie
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +23 | 38 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +19 | 36 |
| 3 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +11 | 33 |
| 4 |
Rakow
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 32 |
| 5 |
Radomiak Radom
|
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | +9 | 32 |
| 6 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |
Stal Mielec
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 27 |
| 8 |
Wisla Plock
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | +2 | 26 |
| 9 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +2 | 24 |
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 |
Cracovia
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 |
Piast Gliwice
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | +0 | 22 |
| 13 |
Zaglebie
|
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 |
Wisla
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 |
Warta Poznan
|
18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 | Leczna | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -18 | 15 |
| 17 |
Nieciecza
|
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 |
Legia
|
16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wisla Plock
Legia
Cracovia
Legia
Legia
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Legia
Legia
Stal Mielec
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.