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Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

T S S U S

5–1

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 53%

53%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

27%

47%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 3. · Lechia Gdansk 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	15	9	5	1	+21	32
2	Lechia Gdansk	15	8	6	1	+14	30
3	Pogon Szczecin	15	8	5	2	+13	29
4	Radomiak Radom	16	7	7	2	+8	28
5	Rakow	14	7	5	2	+7	26
6	Slask Wroclaw	16	6	6	4	+5	24
7	Piast Gliwice	16	6	3	7	+1	21
8	Jagiellonia	15	5	6	4	-1	21
9	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	-1	21
10	Stal Mielec	16	5	6	5	-2	21
11	Wisla Plock	15	6	2	7	+1	20
12	Cracovia	15	5	5	5	-1	20
13	Zaglebie	14	5	2	7	-7	17
14	Wisla	16	5	2	9	-11	17
15	Nieciecza	15	2	6	7	-6	12
16	Warta Poznan	15	2	5	8	-9	11
17	Legia	13	3	0	10	-11	9
18	Leczna	16	1	6	9	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Pogon Szczecin	7	6	1	0	+13	19
3	Wisla Plock	7	5	2	0	+11	17
4	Lechia Gdansk	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Jagiellonia	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Radomiak Radom	7	4	3	0	+6	15
7	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+1	14
8	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	4	1	+3	13
9	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Cracovia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Zaglebie	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Wisla	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Rakow	5	2	3	0	+4	9
15	Nieciecza	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Leczna	9	1	4	4	-10	7
17	Legia	6	2	0	4	-3	6
18	Warta Poznan	8	0	4	4	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	9	5	2	2	+3	17
2	Lechia Gdansk	8	3	4	1	+6	13
3	Radomiak Radom	9	3	4	2	+2	13
4	Lech Poznan	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	2	4	2	+0	10
7	Cracovia	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	Piast Gliwice	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Warta Poznan	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Stal Mielec	8	1	4	3	-3	7
12	Zaglebie	7	2	1	4	-7	7
13	Wisla	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Jagiellonia	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Nieciecza	7	0	3	4	-4	3
16	Legia	7	1	0	6	-8	3
17	Wisla Plock	8	1	0	7	-10	3
18	Leczna	7	0	2	5	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.