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Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec
S T U T U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
16%
58%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
52%
35%
Both score Ø 46%
60%
31%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 16. · Pogon Szczecin 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 26 17 5 4 +22 56
2 Pogon Szczecin 26 15 5 6 +16 50
3 Rakow 26 14 7 5 +17 49
4 Piast Gliwice 27 10 9 8 +7 39
5 Zaglebie 27 11 6 10 +2 39
6 Warta Poznan 27 12 3 12 +1 39
7 Lechia Gdansk 26 11 5 10 +3 38
8 Slask Wroclaw 27 10 8 9 +3 38
9 Lech Poznan 27 8 9 10 +1 33
10 Gornik Zabrze 27 9 6 12 -3 33
11 Cracovia 27 7 12 8 -4 33
12 Jagiellonia 27 9 6 12 -8 33
13 Wisla 27 7 8 12 -3 29
14 Wisla Plock 27 7 8 12 -9 29
15 Podbeskidzie 27 6 6 15 -28 24
16 Stal Mielec 25 4 9 12 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.