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Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec
T U T U T
2–1
Full-time
Podbeskidzie
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Podbeskidzie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 18%
15%
20%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
65%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 16. · Podbeskidzie 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 21 14 3 4 +15 45
2 Pogon Szczecin 21 11 5 5 +12 38
3 Rakow 21 10 6 5 +10 36
4 Lechia Gdansk 21 10 3 8 +5 33
5 Gornik Zabrze 21 9 4 8 +3 31
6 Lech Poznan 21 7 8 6 +3 29
7 Slask Wroclaw 21 8 5 8 +3 29
8 Zaglebie 21 8 5 8 +2 29
9 Piast Gliwice 21 7 7 7 +3 28
10 Warta Poznan 21 8 2 11 -3 26
11 Wisla 21 6 7 8 +2 25
12 Cracovia 21 5 10 6 -3 25
13 Jagiellonia 21 7 4 10 -7 25
14 Wisla Plock 21 6 6 9 -7 24
15 Podbeskidzie 20 4 6 10 -24 18
16 Stal Mielec 20 3 7 10 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.