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Allsvenskan
Referee: Erik Mattsson
Goteborg
T S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Oster
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Oster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 32%
50%
13%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 12. · Oster 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AIK 9 6 3 0 +7 +0.8 21
2 Hammarby 9 6 2 1 +12 +7.1 20
3 Mjallby 8 5 2 1 +10 -0.7 17
4 Elfsborg 8 5 1 2 +4 +4.2 16
5 Malmo FF 8 4 2 2 +4 +4.9 14
6 GAIS 9 2 5 2 +1 +0.5 11
7 Djurgarden 7 3 2 2 +0 +2.3 11
8 Hacken 9 3 2 4 -3 +1.0 11
9 Norrkoping 8 3 1 4 +0 -2.7 10
10 Brommapojkarna 7 3 1 3 +0 +0.4 10
11 Degerfors 8 3 1 4 -2 +0.2 10
12 Goteborg 8 3 1 4 -4 +0.9 10
13 Halmstad 9 3 1 5 -9 -7.7 10
14 Sirius 9 2 3 4 -3 -5.1 9
15 Oster 8 1 0 7 -8 -5.2 3
16 Varnamo 8 0 1 7 -9 -1.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Oster
-5′
🟨 Matias Tamminen
Eman Marković 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
58′
E. Bishesari 1–0
own goal
K. Thordarson 🔁
↦ T. Heintz
63′
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ A. Carlen
63′
76′
🔁 R. Adjei
↦ M. Tamminen
76′
🔁 D. Ljung
↦ D. Seger
Kolbeinn Thordarson 🟥
79′
L. Carlstrand 🔁
↦ E. Markovic
84′
T. Santos 🔁
↦ F. Eriksson
84′
Jonas Bager 🟨
89′
Imam Jagne 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Alibek Aliev
98′
🟨 Daniel Ljung
101′
🔁 O. Gabrielsson
↦ A. Aliev
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-3-3
25 E. Bishesari G
18 F. Eriksson D
5 J. Bager
3 A. Erlingmark D
22 N. Tolf D
21 A. Carlen M
15 D. Kruse M
8 I. Jagne M
17 E. Markovic F
9 M. Fenger F
14 T. Heintz F
Bench (9)
12 L. Dahlgren
6 A. Trondsen
7 S. Clemmensen
13 G. Svensson
16 L. Carlstrand
23 K. Thordarson
26 B. Brantlind
29 T. Santos
30 R. Lundqvist

Coach: Stefan Bo Anders Billborn

Oster

4-3-3
13 R. Wallinder G
3 K. Gyamfi D
4 S. Starke
15 I. Kricak D
14 D. Olsson D
19 M. Tamminen M
26 M. Christensen M
7 D. Seger M
6 N. Soderberg F
20 A. Aliev
25 Y. Sanyang F
Bench (9)
32 C. Lundahl
8 D. Ask
10 C. Morfelt
16 R. Adjei
17 V. Poppler
18 D. Ljung
22 O. Gabrielsson
23 V. Rodic
29 C. Kouakou

Coach: Carl Roberth Björknesjö

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Erik Mattsson · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.