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Allsvenskan
Referee: V Wolf
Malmo FF
S U T S S
3–0
Full-time
Sirius
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
83%
25%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
2,6
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

76% Possession 24%
21 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Sirius 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 12 10 1 1 +21 31
2 Elfsborg 12 9 2 1 +18 29
3 Hacken 13 9 1 3 +21 28
4 Kalmar 12 6 3 3 +4 21
5 Djurgarden 13 6 3 4 +2 21
6 Brommapojkarna 13 6 1 6 -2 19
7 Halmstad 12 6 1 5 -4 19
8 Norrkoping 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Hammarby 13 4 4 5 -4 16
10 Mjallby 12 4 3 5 -3 15
11 Varnamo 13 5 0 8 -4 15
12 Sirius 12 3 5 4 -3 14
13 Degerfors 14 3 2 9 -22 11
14 AIK 13 2 4 7 -6 10
15 Goteborg 12 1 4 7 -5 7
16 Varberg 12 0 5 7 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Sirius
1–0 I. Kiese Thelin
Busanello
5′
44′
🟨 Patrick Nwadike
Half-time 1–0
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ T. Ali
46′
47′
🟨 Patrick Nwadike
47′
🟥 Patrick Nwadike
2–0 I. Kiese Thelin
47′
53′
🔁 Kristopher Da Graca
↦ C. Kouakou
3–0 S. Nanasi
Busanello
55′
70′
🔁 A. Wikman
↦ J. Persson
71′
🔁 E. Özkan
↦ M. Heier
P. Sejdiu 🔁
↦ M. Zeidan
74′
85′
🔁 E. Sylisufaj
↦ T. Matthews
M. Olsson 🔁
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
86′
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ O. Lewicki
86′
86′
🔁 H. Sjögrell
↦ A. Bjarnason
E. Makolli 🔁
↦ J. Ceesay
88′
89′
🟨 Herman Sjögrell
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

3-4-3
27 J. Dahlin G
15 J. Ceesay D
24 L. Nielsen D
4 N. Moisander D
22 T. Ali M
8 S. Peña M
6 O. Lewicki M
25 Busanello M
11 S. Nanasi F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
20 M. Zeidan F
Bench (9)
5 S. Rieks
36 P. Sejdiu
13 M. Olsson
41 A. Skogmar
33 E. Makolli
30 I. Diawara
32 D. Guðjohnsen
35 S. Kotto
7 M. Siby

Coach: H. Rydström

Sirius

4-3-3
30 J. Tånnander G
13 J. Voelkerling Persson D
2 P. Nwadike D
31 M. Jeng D
21 D. Widgren D
19 M. Heier M
8 D. Stensson M
14 A. Bjarnason M
20 J. Persson F
9 C. Kouakou F
7 T. Matthews F
Bench (9)
4 Kristopher Da Graca
18 A. Wikman
27 E. Özkan
23 E. Sylisufaj
16 H. Sjögrell
36 A. Ljungberg
35 H. Sveijer
28 M. Kaastrup
22 André Alsanati

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Wolf · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.