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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Elfsborg
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Hammarby
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 53%
75%
31%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 3. · Hammarby 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 13 11 1 1 +24 34
2 Hacken 14 9 2 3 +21 29
3 Elfsborg 12 9 2 1 +18 29
4 Djurgarden 14 7 3 4 +4 24
5 Kalmar 12 6 3 3 +4 21
6 Halmstad 13 6 2 5 -4 20
7 Norrkoping 13 5 4 4 +3 19
8 Brommapojkarna 13 6 1 6 -2 19
9 Hammarby 13 4 4 5 -4 16
10 Mjallby 12 4 3 5 -3 15
11 Varnamo 13 5 0 8 -4 15
12 Sirius 13 3 5 5 -6 14
13 Degerfors 14 3 2 9 -22 11
14 AIK 13 2 4 7 -6 10
15 Goteborg 13 1 5 7 -5 8
16 Varberg 13 0 5 8 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Hammarby
Gustaf Lagerbielke 🟨
5′
1–0 S. Guðjohnsen
13′
42′
🔁 V. Đukanović
↦ E. Kurtulus
Half-time 1–0
André Rømer 🟨
53′
E. Boateng 🔁
↦ A. Bernhardsson
60′
Niklas Hult 🟨
61′
68′
🟨 Simon Strand
70′
🔁 A. Nalić
↦ M. Madjed
70′
🔁 A. Kralj
↦ S. Strand
G. Rapp 🔁
↦ J. Okkels
79′
85′
🔁 J. Nilsson
↦ M. Karlsson
85′
🔁 M. Rafferty
↦ A. Mikkelsen
2–0 J. Larsson
86′
B. Zeneli 🔁
↦ M. Baidoo
91′
J. Cooper 🔁
↦ S. Guðjohnsen
91′
93′
🟨 Jusef Erabi
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
30 H. Valdimarsson G
13 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
2 G. Lagerbielke D
23 N. Hult D
10 M. Baidoo M
6 A. Rømer M
12 A. Bernhardsson M
18 A. Qasem M
19 J. Okkels M
11 S. Guðjohnsen F
Bench (9)
26 E. Boateng
20 G. Rapp
27 B. Zeneli
25 J. Cooper
21 A. Boman
31 T. Rönning
28 N. Söderberg
4 G. Henriksson
29 I. Buhari

Coach: J. Thelin

Hammarby

4-3-3
25 D. Blažević G
36 M. Karlsson D
4 E. Kurtulus D
30 S. Pinas D
21 S. Strand D
20 N. Besara M
18 L. Sadiku M
33 F. Hammar M
38 M. Madjed F
19 J. Erabi F
17 A. Mikkelsen F
Bench (9)
7 V. Đukanović
9 A. Nalić
3 A. Kralj
22 J. Nilsson
45 M. Rafferty
35 L. Svanberg
1 O. Dovin
34 A. Demirol
31 S. Alioum

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.