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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Kalmar

S S U S U

0–4

Full-time

Elfsborg

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 62%

46%

77%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

46%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,4

2,3

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,06 xG 2,03

53% Possession 47%

5 Shots 29

2 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 10

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

5 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalmar 5. · Elfsborg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	14	11	1	2	+23	+0.6	34
2	Hacken	15	10	2	3	+22	–	32
3	Elfsborg	13	10	2	1	+20	–	32
4	Djurgarden	15	8	3	4	+5	–	27
5	Kalmar	13	6	4	3	+4	–	22
6	Halmstad	13	6	2	5	-4	–	20
7	Norrkoping	13	5	4	4	+3	–	19
8	Mjallby	14	5	4	5	-2	-0.6	19
9	Brommapojkarna	14	6	1	7	-3	–	19
10	Hammarby	15	5	4	6	-5	+0.1	19
11	Varnamo	14	5	0	9	-5	–	15
12	Sirius	14	3	5	6	-7	-0.1	14
13	Degerfors	15	4	2	9	-21	–	14
14	AIK	14	2	4	8	-7	–	10
15	Goteborg	13	1	5	7	-5	–	8
16	Varberg	13	0	5	8	-18	–	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+11	–	22
2	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
3	Hacken	7	6	0	1	+16	–	18
4	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+15	–	16
5	Kalmar	6	4	1	1	+4	–	13
6	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+4	–	13
7	Halmstad	7	3	2	2	+1	–	11
8	Degerfors	8	3	2	3	-1	–	11
9	Mjallby	7	2	3	2	+2	–	9
10	Norrkoping	6	2	2	2	+0	–	8
11	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
12	Brommapojkarna	7	2	1	4	-2	–	7
13	AIK	7	1	3	3	-3	–	6
14	Varnamo	7	2	0	5	-3	–	6
15	Goteborg	6	1	2	3	+3	–	5
16	Varberg	7	0	3	4	-11	–	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	6	5	1	0	+5	–	16
2	Malmo FF	6	5	0	1	+8	–	15
3	Hacken	8	4	2	2	+6	–	14
4	Brommapojkarna	7	4	0	3	-1	–	12
5	Norrkoping	7	3	2	2	+3	–	11
6	Mjallby	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.6	10
7	Kalmar	7	2	3	2	+0	–	9
8	Varnamo	7	3	0	4	-2	–	9
9	Halmstad	6	3	0	3	-5	–	9
10	Sirius	7	1	4	2	-5	–	7
11	Hammarby	9	1	3	5	-9	+0.1	6
12	Djurgarden	7	1	2	4	-6	–	5
13	AIK	7	1	1	5	-4	–	4
14	Goteborg	7	0	3	4	-8	–	3
15	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-20	–	3
16	Varberg	6	0	2	4	-7	–	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.