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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Goteborg
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Malmo FF
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
44%
48%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
44%
48%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 8. · Malmo FF 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 26 15 9 2 +26 54
2 Hammarby 26 14 7 5 +30 49
3 Djurgarden 26 14 6 6 +25 48
4 Kalmar 26 14 5 7 +13 47
5 AIK 26 13 8 5 +11 47
6 Malmo FF 25 12 6 7 +10 42
7 Elfsborg 26 9 10 7 +12 37
8 Goteborg 25 11 3 11 +4 36
9 Mjallby 26 8 10 8 -4 34
10 Varnamo 26 8 8 10 -11 32
11 Sirius 26 8 6 12 -11 30
12 Norrkoping 26 7 8 11 -3 29
13 Varberg 26 7 7 12 -18 28
14 Degerfors 26 5 8 13 -20 23
15 Helsingborg 26 4 5 17 -22 17
16 Sundsvall 26 4 2 20 -42 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Malmo FF
Half-time 0–1
46′
I. Kiese Thelin 0–1
A. Christiansen
63′
🔁 S. Rieks
↦ Mohamed Turay
E. Marković 🔁
↦ H. Carneil
68′
1–1 G. Norlin
70′
Carl Johansson 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 O. Toivonen
↦ M. Zeidan
77′
🔁 E. Rakip
↦ H. Larsson
2–1 C. Johansson
O. Wendt
83′
Hosam Aiesh 🔁
↦ S. Eriksson
86′
88′
🟨 Jonas Knudsen
E. Sorga 🔁
↦ G. Norlin
93′
Hosam Aiesh 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-3-3
99 P. Dahlberg G
17 O. Wendt D
2 E. Salomonsson D
4 C. Johansson D
20 J. Bångsbo D
13 G. Svensson M
7 S. Eriksson M
21 S. Thern M
14 G. Norlin F
19 H. Carneil F
9 M. Berg F
Bench (7)
6 E. Marković
8 Hosam Aiesh
11 E. Sorga
1 W. Hahn
30 M. Bjärsmyr
10 S. Abdullahi
27 H. Ghasem

Coach: M. Stahre

Malmo FF

4-3-3
30 I. Diawara G
3 J. Knudsen D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
14 F. Beijmo D
10 A. Christiansen M
6 O. Lewicki D
20 M. Zeidan M
36 P. Sejdiu F
31 H. Larsson M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
33 Mohamed Turay F
Bench (7)
5 S. Rieks
11 O. Toivonen
7 E. Rakip
40 E. Lomotey
18 R. Gall
23 M. Chaluš
27 J. Dahlin

Coach: Å. Hareide

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.