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Superligaen
Aarhus
T S U U T
1–4
Full-time
Midtjylland
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 52%
43%
61%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
57%
39%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 4. · Midtjylland 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 23 14 4 5 +16 46
2 Brondby 24 14 3 7 +13 45
3 FC Copenhagen 24 12 5 7 +7 41
4 Aarhus 23 10 8 5 +11 38
5 Nordsjaelland 24 9 8 7 +8 35
6 Randers FC 24 9 5 10 +8 32
7 Aalborg 23 8 7 8 -5 31
8 Odense 24 7 8 9 -4 29
9 Sonderjyske 24 8 4 12 -4 28
10 Vejle 24 7 7 10 -11 28
11 Lyngby 23 5 6 12 -18 21
12 Horsens 24 3 7 14 -21 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.