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LaLiga2

Referee: J Sanchez

Mirandes

T S U U S

2–2

Full-time

Castellon

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

47%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 59%

62%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,04 xG 2,79

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mirandes 21. · Castellon 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	34	19	5	10	+14	-4.2	62
2	Almeria	34	18	7	9	+19	+5.1	61
3	La Coruna	35	17	10	8	+15	+2.4	61
4	Malaga	35	17	9	9	+17	+6.3	60
5	Burgos	35	17	9	9	+13	+4.8	60
6	Castellon	34	16	9	9	+15	+3.6	57
7	Las Palmas	35	15	12	8	+15	+2.4	57
8	Eibar	34	15	9	10	+9	+7.4	54
9	Sp Gijon	35	14	7	14	+1	+2.5	49
10	Ceuta	35	14	7	14	-13	-11.6	49
11	Cordoba	35	13	9	13	-5	+3.7	48
12	Andorra	34	12	10	12	+3	+2.2	46
13	Granada	35	11	12	12	+3	+0.7	45
14	Albacete	35	11	11	13	-3	+1.1	44
15	Leganes	35	10	12	13	+2	+3.1	42
16	Sociedad B	35	11	8	16	-5	-9.8	41
17	Valladolid	34	10	9	15	-8	+2.2	39
18	Cadiz	34	10	8	16	-14	-7.7	38
19	Zaragoza	35	8	10	17	-16	-0.2	34
20	Huesca	35	8	9	18	-18	-0.4	33
21	Mirandes	34	8	8	18	-19	-4.3	32
22	Cultural Leonesa	35	8	8	19	-25	-9.1	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	18	12	4	2	+19	+10.4	40
2	Malaga	18	11	6	1	+18	+5.3	39
3	Almeria	17	12	2	3	+19	+6.7	38
4	Castellon	17	11	3	3	+15	+0.6	36
5	Las Palmas	18	10	5	3	+16	+3.2	35
6	Santander	17	11	2	4	+14	+0.2	35
7	Ceuta	17	11	2	4	+7	+0.4	35
8	Burgos	18	9	6	3	+12	+5.4	33
9	Sp Gijon	18	9	6	3	+9	+3.3	33
10	La Coruna	17	8	5	4	+6	+1.4	29
11	Granada	18	6	8	4	+7	+3.5	26
12	Sociedad B	17	7	5	5	+4	-1.9	26
13	Huesca	18	6	7	5	+0	+1.1	25
14	Cordoba	17	7	4	6	-1	+1.1	25
15	Andorra	17	6	6	5	+4	+2.9	24
16	Leganes	17	6	5	6	+4	+7.5	23
17	Valladolid	17	6	4	7	+1	+4.0	22
18	Albacete	17	6	4	7	-5	-1.1	22
19	Cadiz	17	6	2	9	-7	-2.2	20
20	Zaragoza	17	4	5	8	-8	+2.9	17
21	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-11	-1.3	16
22	Cultural Leonesa	17	3	4	10	-15	+2.0	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	18	9	5	4	+9	+1.0	32
2	Burgos	17	8	3	6	+1	-0.6	27
3	Santander	17	8	3	6	+0	-4.4	27
4	Almeria	17	6	5	6	+0	-1.6	23
5	Cordoba	18	6	5	7	-4	+2.6	23
6	Albacete	18	5	7	6	+2	+2.2	22
7	Andorra	17	6	4	7	-1	-0.6	22
8	Las Palmas	17	5	7	5	-1	-0.8	22
9	Castellon	17	5	6	6	+0	+2.9	21
10	Malaga	17	6	3	8	-1	+0.9	21
11	Leganes	18	4	7	7	-2	-4.4	19
12	Granada	17	5	4	8	-4	-2.9	19
13	Cultural Leonesa	18	5	4	9	-10	-11.1	19
14	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-7	-5.5	18
15	Zaragoza	18	4	5	9	-8	-3.2	17
16	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	-1.9	17
17	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-8	-3.1	16
18	Sp Gijon	17	5	1	11	-8	-0.9	16
19	Sociedad B	18	4	3	11	-9	-7.9	15
20	Eibar	16	3	5	8	-10	-3.1	14
21	Ceuta	18	3	5	10	-20	-12.1	14
22	Huesca	17	2	2	13	-18	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.