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LaLiga2
Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo
Zaragoza
S T U T U
1–2
Full-time
Las Palmas
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
21%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
37%
32%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
42%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,75 xG 1,05
47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 21. · Las Palmas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 20 11 5 4 +15 +0.2 38
2 Almeria 20 10 5 5 +10 -0.1 35
3 Las Palmas 19 9 7 3 +12 +0.6 34
4 Castellon 20 10 4 6 +9 +3.2 34
5 La Coruna 19 9 5 5 +11 +2.7 32
6 Ceuta 20 9 5 6 +0 -4.0 32
7 Cadiz 19 8 6 5 +1 -0.8 30
8 Sp Gijon 20 9 3 8 -2 +1.2 30
9 Malaga 20 8 5 7 +4 -0.8 29
10 Burgos 20 8 5 7 +4 +1.5 29
11 Cordoba 20 7 8 5 +2 +0.6 29
12 Valladolid 20 6 7 7 +1 +3.9 25
13 Eibar 20 6 6 8 -2 +1.5 24
14 Andorra 20 6 6 8 -6 -0.5 24
15 Cultural Leonesa 20 7 3 10 -8 -6.3 24
16 Albacete 19 6 5 8 -6 -0.7 23
17 Huesca 20 6 5 9 -9 +1.3 23
18 Sociedad B 20 6 4 10 -2 +0.7 22
19 Granada 20 4 9 7 -4 -0.1 21
20 Leganes 19 4 8 7 -3 +1.3 20
21 Zaragoza 19 4 5 10 -14 -3.5 17
22 Mirandes 20 4 4 12 -13 -2.1 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Las Palmas
21′
Jese 0–1
M. Fuster
Alberto Rodríguez 🟨
39′
41′
🟨 Jonathan Viera
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Kodro
48′
62′
🔁 M. Lukovic
↦ Jese
62′
🔁 E. Pedrola
↦ Pejino
T. Moya 🔁
↦ M. Soberon
66′
M. A. Cuenca 🔁
↦ J. Sebastian
66′
Y. Saidu 🔁
↦ A. Radovanovic
68′
72′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ J. Viera
81′
🟨 Enrique Clemente
S. Bakis 🔁
↦ K. Kodro
86′
88′
E. Pedrola 1–2
E. Loiodice
89′
🔁 I. Gil
↦ M. Fuster
89′
🔁 C. Gutierrez
↦ E. Clemente
Toni Moya 🟨
92′
Dani Tasende 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 E. Andrada G
2 J. Sebastian D
5 Tachi D
16 A. Radovanovic D
3 D. Tasende D
10 R. Guti M
6 K. Bare M
14 Francho M
7 M. Soberon M
21 Valery M
19 K. Kodro F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
8 T. Moya
9 D. Gomez
12 S. Bakis
11 S. Bazdar
15 C. Pomares
17 F. Moyano
23 M. A. Cuenca
31 H. Pinilla
32 H. Barrachina
33 Y. Saidu
36 A. Gomes

Coach: Gabriel Fernández Arenas

Las Palmas

4-4-2
1 D. Horkas G
17 Viti D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
24 Pejino M
12 E. Loiodice M
16 L. Amatucci M
14 M. Fuster M
21 J. Viera F
10 Jese F
Bench (11)
13 J. Caro
35 A. Suarez
4 Alex Suarez
8 I. Gil
15 J. Herzog
18 E. Cedeno
22 A. Garcia
23 C. Gutierrez
25 M. Lukovic
26 I. Gonzalez
39 E. Pedrola

Coach: Luis García Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
2,88
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,51
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Damaso Arcediano Monescillo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.