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LaLiga2
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Elche
S S T U S
3–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
0,8
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
21%
29%
Both score Ø 32%
32%
32%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 8. · Alcorcon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 29 14 8 7 +20 50
2 Eibar 29 14 7 8 +13 49
3 Espanol 29 13 9 7 +13 48
4 Sp Gijon 29 12 10 7 +9 46
5 Valladolid 29 13 6 10 +5 45
6 Burgos 29 13 6 10 +1 45
7 Oviedo 29 11 11 7 +12 44
8 Elche 28 12 8 8 +3 44
9 Ferrol 29 11 11 7 +1 44
10 Santander 29 12 7 10 +3 43
11 Eldense 29 10 11 8 +1 41
12 Tenerife 29 11 7 11 +0 40
13 Levante 28 9 12 7 +0 39
14 Zaragoza 29 9 10 10 +2 37
15 Huesca 29 7 12 10 +1 33
16 Mirandes 29 8 9 12 -5 33
17 Albacete 29 7 10 12 -8 31
18 Cartagena 29 8 7 14 -13 31
19 Villarreal B 29 7 9 13 -15 30
20 Alcorcon 28 7 8 13 -16 29
21 Andorra 28 7 7 14 -12 28
22 Amorebieta 29 5 9 15 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Alcorcon
John Nwankwo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
6′
1–0 Mourad
Carlos Clerc
10′
18′
🟨 Juanma Bravo
2–0 Tete Morente
27′
Borja Garcés 🔁
↦ Mourad
30′
3–0 N. Fernández Mercau
Arnau Puigmal
37′
45′
🟨 Víctor García
Half-time 3–0
Sergio Bermejo 🔁
↦ Arnau Puigmal
46′
46′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ Víctor García
46′
🔁 Pedro Mosquera
↦ Juanma Bravo
Nicolás Castro 🟨
54′
63′
🔁 Iker Bilbao
↦ Y. Eteki
José Salinas 🔁
↦ Josan
65′
70′
🔁 Koldo Obieta
↦ Fede Vico
Aleix Febas 🔁
↦ N. Castro
78′
R. Núñez 🔁
↦ Tete Morente
78′
82′
🔁 Marciano Sanca
↦ Jacobo González
91′
🟨 Jean-Sylvain Babin
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 M. Dituro G
17 Josan D
5 John Donald D
6 Pedro Bigas D
23 Carlos Clerc D
8 Arnau Puigmal M
30 Rodrigo Mendoza M
21 N. Castro M
11 Tete Morente M
19 Mourad F
22 N. Fernández Mercau F
Bench (11)
18 Borja Garcés
9 Sergio Bermejo
12 José Salinas
14 Aleix Febas
37 R. Núñez
4 Diego González
2 Mario Gaspar
1 Miguel San Román
35 David López
20 Cristian Salvador
10 Manu Nieto

Coach: S. Beccacece

Alcorcon

5-3-2
13 Lucas Anacker G
17 Víctor García D
2 Javi Castro D
6 J. Babin D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
14 Fede Vico M
18 Y. Eteki M
10 Juanma Bravo M
8 Jacobo González F
9 Chiki F
Bench (11)
26 E. Addai
5 Pedro Mosquera
24 Iker Bilbao
21 Koldo Obieta
33 Marciano Sanca
29 Èric Callis
4 Óscar Rivas
3 David Morillas
15 Javi Lara
1 Jesús Ruiz
22 Juan Artola

Coach: M. Nafti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
3,70
B
6,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.