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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Lugo
T T T U T
0–2
Full-time
Eibar
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,2
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
19%
48%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
41%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,0
1,9
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lugo 21. · Eibar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 27 14 10 3 +18 52
2 Levante 27 13 11 3 +14 50
3 Alaves 27 14 7 6 +12 49
4 Granada 27 14 5 8 +16 47
5 Eibar 27 13 8 6 +5 47
6 Albacete 27 12 9 6 +6 45
7 Burgos 27 11 10 6 +8 43
8 Cartagena 28 11 7 10 +3 40
9 Leganes 27 10 8 9 +2 38
10 Huesca 27 8 11 8 -1 35
11 Tenerife 27 8 10 9 -2 34
12 Villarreal B 27 9 7 11 -5 34
13 Oviedo 28 9 7 12 -5 34
14 Sp Gijon 27 7 12 8 -2 33
15 Mirandes 27 8 9 10 -3 33
16 Zaragoza 27 8 9 10 -3 33
17 Andorra 27 9 5 13 +1 32
18 Santander 27 7 9 11 -4 30
19 Ponferradina 27 6 10 11 -9 28
20 Malaga 27 4 10 13 -12 22
21 Lugo 27 5 7 15 -17 22
22 Ibiza 27 4 7 16 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Eibar
20′
🔁 Sergio Álvarez
↦ Imanol García de Albéniz
Aleksandar Pantić 🟨
38′
39′
ℹ️ Javier Muñoz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
Stoichkov 0–1
Half-time 0–1
J. Cuéllar 🔁
↦ M. El Hacen
46′
48′
ℹ️ Javier Muñoz
VAR: Card upgrade
49′
🟥 Javier Muñoz
M. Šćepović 🔁
↦ Ángel Baena
60′
Zé Ricardo 🔁
↦ Andoni López
60′
Xavi Torres 🔁
↦ Jordi Calavera
65′
71′
🔁 José Corpas
↦ Y. Rahmani
71′
🔁 Quique González
↦ Ángel Troncho
Xavi Torres 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Matheus Pereira
82′
🟨 José Corpas
I. Thiam 🔁
↦ A. Pantić
84′
84′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ Stoichkov
Jose Ricardo 🟨
91′
92′
Jon Bautista 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
23 Jordi Calavera D
3 A. Pantić D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
17 Andoni López D
38 Gui M
18 M. El Hacen M
8 Josep Señé M
11 Ángel Baena F
9 Manu Barreiro F
7 Sebas Moyano F
Bench (12)
29 J. Cuéllar
16 M. Šćepović
12 Zé Ricardo
14 Xavi Torres
32 I. Thiam
1 P. Sequeira
24 Álex Pérez
27 Andrés Castrín
15 Miguel Loureiro
22 Marc Carbó
20 Bruno Pirri
4 Clavería

Coach: Fran Justo

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
5 Juan Berrocal D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
22 Peru Nolaskoain M
8 Matheus Pereira M
31 Ángel Troncho M
14 Javi Muñoz M
11 Y. Rahmani M
19 Stoichkov F
Bench (10)
6 Sergio Álvarez
17 José Corpas
7 Quique González
18 Jon Bautista
33 Hodei Arrillaga
1 Ander Cantero
10 Ager Aketxe
2 Chema Rodríguez
21 Álvaro Vadillo
13 Yoel

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,20
U
2,96
B ✓
2,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,95
U2,5 ✓
1,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.