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LaLiga2

Lugo

S T T U T

3–1

Full-time

Numancia

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Numancia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 25%

22%

28%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

36%

33%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

47%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 1

19 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 20. · Numancia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	37	17	12	8	+11	63
2	Zaragoza	36	17	10	9	+13	61
3	Huesca	36	17	7	12	+9	58
4	Almeria	36	15	12	9	+20	57
5	Elche	37	13	13	11	+7	52
6	Girona	36	14	10	12	+4	52
7	Alcorcon	36	12	15	9	+3	51
8	Tenerife	37	13	11	13	+5	50
9	Vallecano	36	10	19	7	+7	49
10	Sp Gijon	36	13	10	13	+5	49
11	Mirandes	36	11	16	9	-3	49
12	Ponferradina	36	11	15	10	+3	48
13	Fuenlabrada	36	11	14	11	+1	47
14	Las Palmas	36	11	14	11	-3	47
15	La Coruna	37	10	15	12	-16	45
16	Malaga	36	9	17	10	+0	44
17	Albacete	36	11	10	15	-12	43
18	Numancia	36	10	11	15	-5	41
19	Oviedo	36	9	14	13	-6	41
20	Lugo	36	8	14	14	-16	38
21	Extremadura UD	36	7	13	16	-15	34
22	Santander	36	4	18	14	-12	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	18	12	3	3	+14	39
2	Girona	18	11	5	2	+13	38
3	Ponferradina	18	8	9	1	+12	33
4	Cadiz	18	9	6	3	+8	33
5	Sp Gijon	18	9	4	5	+11	31
6	Vallecano	18	8	7	3	+7	31
7	Numancia	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Mirandes	19	6	11	2	+6	29
9	Tenerife	19	7	8	4	+5	29
10	Zaragoza	18	8	4	6	+6	28
11	Fuenlabrada	18	7	7	4	+5	28
12	Almeria	17	8	3	6	+10	27
13	Elche	19	6	8	5	+4	26
14	Malaga	18	6	8	4	+4	26
15	La Coruna	18	6	8	4	-1	26
16	Las Palmas	18	6	7	5	+2	25
17	Oviedo	18	4	11	3	+1	23
18	Lugo	18	5	7	6	-8	22
19	Albacete	18	4	7	7	-6	19
20	Alcorcon	18	5	4	9	-7	19
21	Extremadura UD	18	4	4	10	-8	16
22	Santander	18	2	9	7	-3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	18	9	6	3	+7	33
2	Alcorcon	18	7	11	0	+10	32
3	Almeria	19	7	9	3	+10	30
4	Cadiz	19	8	6	5	+3	30
5	Elche	18	7	5	6	+3	26
6	Albacete	18	7	3	8	-6	24
7	Las Palmas	18	5	7	6	-5	22
8	Tenerife	18	6	3	9	+0	21
9	Mirandes	17	5	5	7	-9	20
10	Fuenlabrada	18	4	7	7	-4	19
11	Huesca	18	5	4	9	-5	19
12	La Coruna	19	4	7	8	-15	19
13	Vallecano	18	2	12	4	+0	18
14	Malaga	18	3	9	6	-4	18
15	Sp Gijon	18	4	6	8	-6	18
16	Oviedo	18	5	3	10	-7	18
17	Extremadura UD	18	3	9	6	-7	18
18	Lugo	18	3	7	8	-8	16
19	Ponferradina	18	3	6	9	-9	15
20	Santander	18	2	9	7	-9	15
21	Girona	18	3	5	10	-9	14
22	Numancia	18	2	6	10	-12	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.