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LaLiga2
Santander
S T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Lugo
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 18%
13%
23%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
35%
35%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 8
17 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 22. · Lugo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 31 16 8 7 +12 56
2 Zaragoza 31 15 10 6 +15 55
3 Huesca 32 16 5 11 +9 53
4 Almeria 31 13 11 7 +19 50
5 Elche 32 12 11 9 +8 47
6 Girona 31 13 8 10 +5 47
7 Vallecano 31 9 16 6 +7 43
8 Fuenlabrada 32 10 12 10 +0 42
9 Mirandes 31 9 15 7 -1 42
10 Ponferradina 32 9 14 9 +2 41
11 Sp Gijon 31 11 8 12 +2 41
12 Alcorcon 31 9 14 8 +1 41
13 Tenerife 32 10 9 13 -1 39
14 Numancia 31 9 11 11 +0 38
15 Malaga 32 8 14 10 -2 38
16 Las Palmas 31 9 11 11 -5 38
17 Oviedo 32 8 12 12 -6 36
18 Albacete 31 9 8 14 -13 35
19 La Coruna 31 8 11 12 -18 35
20 Lugo 31 7 13 11 -12 34
21 Extremadura UD 32 7 11 14 -13 32
22 Santander 31 4 16 11 -9 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Nov -19 Lugo – Santander 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U
2,98
B ✓
3,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,71
U2,5
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.