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Super League
Referee: G Vreskas
Olympiakos
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,8
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 58%
82%
33%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 49%
39%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · OFI Crete 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 33 27 6 0 +56 87
2 PAOK 34 21 7 6 +28 70
3 AEK 34 18 10 6 +24 64
4 Panathinaikos 34 14 12 8 +9 54
5 Atromitos 32 11 8 13 -2 41
6 OFI Crete 33 11 6 16 -6 39
7 Aris Thessalonikis 31 9 11 11 +2 38
8 Aris 31 9 11 11 +2 38
9 Asteras Tripolis 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Larisa 32 9 10 13 -9 37
11 Lamia 32 6 16 10 -13 34
12 Xanthi 32 9 7 16 -14 34
13 Volos NFC 32 9 7 16 -24 34
14 Panionios 32 7 7 18 -28 28
15 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos OFI Crete
1–0 Koka
Bruno Gaspar
27′
Half-time 1–1
46′
V. Sakor 1–1
M. Valbuena 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
46′
O. Elabdellaoui 🔁
↦ K. Tsimikas
46′
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ Cafú
57′
61′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ P. Staikos
61′
🔁 M. Mellado
↦ N. Korovesis
61′
🔁 João Figueiredo
↦ D. Manos
72′
🔁 C. Braun
↦ V. Sakor
79′
🟨 Joao Victor
M. Camara 🟨
82′
2–1 Koka
O. Elabdellaoui
82′
M. Lovera 🔁
↦ Koka
84′
A. Bouchalakis 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
84′
P. Cisse 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 V. Nikokyrakis
↦ N. Vafeas
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-3-3
16 B. Allain G
76 Bruno Gaspar D
21 K. Tsimikas D
66 P. Cissé D
24 O. Ba D
8 Guilherme M
7 K. Fortounis M
26 Cafú M
19 G. Masouras M
4 M. Camara M
99 Koka F
Bench (9)
28 M. Valbuena
14 O. Elabdellaoui
11 Y. El-Arabi
22 M. Lovera
5 A. Bouchalakis
34 A. Papadopoulos
1 José Sá
18 Bruno Souza
3 Rúben Semedo

Coach: Pedro Martins

OFI Crete

5-4-1
32 D. Sotiriou G
5 G. Koutroumbis D
16 N. Marinakis D
13 N. Vafeas D
12 João Victor M
4 V. Sakor M
34 N. Korovesis D
41 P. Deligiannidis D
26 P. Staikos M
9 D. Manos F
10 A. Nabi F
Bench (9)
8 J. Neira
29 M. Mellado
20 João Figueiredo
47 C. Braun
91 V. Nikokyrakis
54 M. Perdikis
6 A. Nastos
1 Óscar Whalley
21 Ricardo Vaz

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,16
U
6,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Vreskas · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
33,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.