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Super League
Panathinaikos
S U U T U
2–0
Full-time
Aris
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Super League · 32/30 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
34%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 4
23 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Aris 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 33 27 6 0 +56 87
2 PAOK 33 21 7 5 +30 70
3 AEK 33 17 10 6 +22 61
4 Panathinaikos 32 12 12 8 +5 48
5 Atromitos 32 11 8 13 -2 41
6 OFI Crete 33 11 6 16 -6 39
7 Aris Thessalonikis 30 9 11 10 +4 38
8 Aris 30 9 11 10 +4 38
9 Asteras Tripolis 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Larisa 32 9 10 13 -9 37
11 Lamia 32 6 16 10 -13 34
12 Xanthi 32 9 7 16 -14 34
13 Volos NFC 32 9 7 16 -24 34
14 Panionios 32 7 7 18 -28 28
15 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
3,74
B
5,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.