Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Panathinaikos
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | +56 | 87 |
| 2 |
PAOK
|
33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 | 70 |
| 3 |
AEK
|
33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | +22 | 61 |
| 4 |
Panathinaikos
|
32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +5 | 48 |
| 5 |
Atromitos
|
32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 |
OFI Crete
|
33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | -6 | 39 |
| 7 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | +4 | 38 |
| 8 |
Aris
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | +4 | 38 |
| 9 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -4 | 37 |
| 10 |
Larisa
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 |
Lamia
|
32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | -13 | 34 |
| 12 |
Xanthi
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -14 | 34 |
| 13 |
Volos NFC
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -24 | 34 |
| 14 |
Panionios
|
32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 15 |
Panetolikos
|
32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -21 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
OFI Crete
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
PAOK
AEK
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Volos NFC
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.