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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Lugano

S U U S T

2–1

Full-time

Basel

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 41%

27%

54%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

42%

73%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

14 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugano 7. · Basel 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	27	15	7	5	+21	52
2	St. Gallen	26	16	3	7	+18	51
3	Basel	26	14	4	8	+26	46
4	Servette	27	10	11	6	+15	41
5	Zurich	26	11	5	10	-13	38
6	Luzern	26	10	5	11	-6	35
7	Lugano	26	7	9	10	-2	30
8	Sion	26	6	6	14	-16	24
9	Xamax	26	4	10	12	-19	22
10	Thun	26	6	4	16	-24	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	11	2	0	+24	35
2	Basel	13	8	2	3	+18	26
3	St. Gallen	14	8	2	4	+8	26
4	Servette	13	6	5	2	+10	23
5	Luzern	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Zurich	13	6	2	5	-8	20
7	Lugano	13	3	6	4	-3	15
8	Sion	13	3	4	6	-4	13
9	Thun	13	3	3	7	-12	12
10	Xamax	13	2	3	8	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	12	8	1	3	+10	25
2	Basel	13	6	2	5	+8	20
3	Servette	14	4	6	4	+5	18
4	Zurich	13	5	3	5	-5	18
5	Young Boys	14	4	5	5	-3	17
6	Lugano	13	4	3	6	+1	15
7	Luzern	13	4	2	7	-7	14
8	Xamax	13	2	7	4	-11	13
9	Sion	13	3	2	8	-12	11
10	Thun	13	3	1	9	-12	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.