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LaLiga2
Elche
S S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Numancia
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Numancia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
24%
31%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Elche 7. · Numancia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 30 16 7 7 +12 55
2 Zaragoza 30 14 10 6 +14 52
3 Almeria 30 12 11 7 +15 47
4 Huesca 30 14 5 11 +5 47
5 Girona 30 13 7 10 +5 46
6 Vallecano 29 8 16 5 +7 40
7 Elche 29 10 10 9 +5 40
8 Ponferradina 30 9 13 8 +3 40
9 Fuenlabrada 29 9 12 8 +2 39
10 Mirandes 30 8 15 7 -2 39
11 Numancia 29 9 11 9 +3 38
12 Alcorcon 29 8 14 7 +1 38
13 Malaga 30 8 14 8 +1 38
14 Las Palmas 30 9 11 10 -1 38
15 Sp Gijon 30 10 8 12 -2 38
16 Tenerife 29 9 9 11 +0 36
17 Albacete 29 9 7 13 -12 34
18 La Coruna 29 8 10 11 -14 34
19 Lugo 29 7 11 11 -12 32
20 Extremadura UD 30 7 10 13 -12 31
21 Oviedo 29 6 11 12 -8 29
22 Santander 30 3 16 11 -10 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Sep -19 Numancia – Elche 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
2,97
B
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.