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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
Rotherham
T S T T S
3–3
Full-time
Stoke
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Championship · 21/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
24%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
48%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 23. · Stoke 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 24 15 5 4 +12 50
2 Reading 24 13 4 7 +9 43
3 Bournemouth 24 11 9 4 +18 42
4 Watford 23 11 7 5 +10 40
5 Swansea 21 11 6 4 +12 39
6 Brentford 20 10 7 3 +14 37
7 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 +9 36
8 Stoke 24 9 9 6 +4 36
9 Bristol City 23 11 3 9 +1 36
10 Barnsley 22 10 4 8 +0 34
11 Blackburn 24 9 6 9 +11 33
12 Luton 24 9 6 9 -5 33
13 Preston 24 10 2 12 -3 32
14 Huddersfield 24 9 4 11 -6 31
15 Cardiff 23 8 5 10 +3 29
16 Millwall 23 5 11 7 -4 26
17 Birmingham 24 6 8 10 -11 26
18 Coventry 24 6 8 10 -12 26
19 Nott'm Forest 24 6 7 11 -8 25
20 Sheffield Weds 23 6 7 10 -8 25
21 QPR 23 5 9 9 -8 24
22 Derby 24 5 7 12 -10 22
23 Rotherham 21 5 4 12 -9 19
24 Wycombe 23 3 6 14 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Stoke
14′
A. MacDonald 1–0
own goal
2–0 M. Crooks
M. Smith
31′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Smith
W. Harding
51′
62′
D. Batth 3–1
N. Powell
66′
🔁 J. Allen
↦ J. Cousins
66′
🔁 S. Fletcher
↦ J. Brown
4–1 M. Crooks
M. Ihiekwe
67′
73′
🔁 J. McClean
↦ J. Thompson
74′
🔁 J. Clarke
↦ R. Matondo
75′
N. Powell 4–2
J. McClean
C. Robertson 🔁
↦ A. MacDonald
80′
Matt Crooks 🟨
81′
F. Ladapo 🔁
↦ D. Barlaser
83′
G. Hirst 🔁
↦ M. Smith
89′
Matthew Olosunde 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Rotherham

3-5-1-1
27 J. Blackman G
6 R. Wood D
21 A. MacDonald D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
22 M. Olosunde M
19 W. Harding M
25 M. Crooks F
16 J. Lindsay M
26 D. Barlaser M
8 B. Wiles M
24 M. Smith F
Bench (9)
15 C. Robertson
10 F. Ladapo
9 G. Hirst
23 C. Tilt
18 T. Clarke
2 B. Jones
5 A. Thompson
1 V. Johansson
4 S. MacDonald

Coach: P. Warne

Stoke

3-5-2
32 J. Bursik G
6 D. Batth D
36 H. Souttar D
37 N. Collins D
46 R. Norrington-Davies M
13 M. Obi M
25 N. Powell F
24 J. Cousins M
34 J. Thompson M
49 R. Matondo M
18 J. Brown F
Bench (9)
4 J. Allen
21 S. Fletcher
11 J. McClean
47 J. Clarke
22 S. Clucas
14 T. Smith
5 L. Lindsay
16 A. Davies
9 S. Vokes

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U ✓
3,08
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.