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Championship
Referee: Adam Herczeg
1–2
Full-time
Southampton
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 16%
14%
17%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
29%
67%
Both score Ø 49%
14%
83%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,6
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,90 xG 2,02
48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 24. · Southampton 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 0 +7 +2.5 16
2 Coventry 7 3 4 0 +11 +8.8 13
3 Stoke 7 4 1 2 +5 +0.7 13
4 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 +6 +1.9 12
5 Leicester 7 3 3 1 +3 -2.2 12
6 Preston 7 3 3 1 +2 -1.8 12
7 Charlton 7 3 2 2 +2 +2.0 11
8 West Brom 7 3 2 2 +1 +1.7 11
9 QPR 7 3 2 2 -2 -1.1 11
10 Millwall 7 3 2 2 -2 +1.7 11
11 Birmingham 7 3 1 3 -3 +2.1 10
12 Ipswich 6 2 3 1 +5 +5.6 9
13 Swansea 7 2 3 2 +1 +0.5 9
14 Norwich 7 2 2 3 +0 -4.0 8
15 Wrexham 7 2 2 3 -1 -5.4 8
16 Watford 7 2 2 3 -1 +0.9 8
17 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 -2 +0.4 8
18 Hull 7 2 2 3 -3 -3.8 8
19 Southampton 6 1 3 2 -2 +2.9 6
20 Blackburn 6 2 0 4 -3 +0.1 6
21 Derby 7 1 3 3 -4 -5.9 6
22 Oxford 7 1 2 4 -2 -0.2 5
23 Sheffield Weds 7 1 2 4 -7 -4.0 5
24 Sheffield United 7 1 0 6 -11 -3.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Southampton
1–0 T. Campbell
G. Hamer
28′
Tyrese Campbell 🟨
36′
37′
🟨 Ryan Manning
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Shea Charles
46′
🔁 R. Fraser
↦ T. Fellows
46′
🔁 J. Robinson
↦ F. Azaz
Japhet Tanganga 🟨
49′
51′
R. Stewart 1–1
58′
R. Stewart 1–2
J. Robinson
67′
🟨 Adam Armstrong
A. Matos 🔁
↦ T. Davies
70′
T. Cannon 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
71′
75′
🔁 M. Roerslev Rasmussen
↦ R. Manning
75′
🔁 F. Downes
↦ A. Armstrong
F. Seriki 🔁
↦ C. Ogbene
82′
D. Ings 🔁
↦ B. Mee
83′
S. McCallum 🔁
↦ H. Burrows
85′
85′
🔁 C. Archer
↦ R. Stewart
Sydie Peck 🟨
91′
95′
🟨 Nathan Wood
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Cooper G
2 J. Tanganga D
25 M. McGuinness D
15 B. Mee D
19 C. Ogbene M
42 S. Peck M
22 T. Davies M
14 H. Burrows M
10 C. O'Hare F
8 G. Hamer F
23 T. Campbell F
Bench (9)
17 A. Davies
3 S. McCallum
6 T. Bindon
7 T. Cannon
9 D. Ings
18 D. Soumare
27 L. Barry
28 A. Matos
38 F. Seriki

Coach: Christopher John Wilder

Southampton

4-2-3-1
1 A. McCarthy G
12 R. Edwards D
15 N. Wood D
17 J. Quarshie D
3 R. Manning D
20 C. Jander M
24 S. Charles M
18 T. Fellows M
10 F. Azaz M
9 A. Armstrong M
11 R. Stewart F
Bench (9)
31 G. Bazunu
38 E. Jelert
2 M. Roerslev Rasmussen
6 T. Harwood-Bellis
4 F. Downes
26 R. Fraser
46 J. Robinson
13 L. Scienza
19 C. Archer

Coach: William Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U
3,37
B ✓
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adam Herczeg · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.