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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Galatasaray
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
5,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,34 xG 1,81
33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Galatasaray Liverpool
1–0 V. Osimhen ⚽
16′
Mario Lemina 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Ryan Gravenberch
56′
🔁 G. Mamardashvili
↦ Alisson
Abdülkerim Bardakçı 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 A. Isak
↦ R. Gravenberch
62′
🔁 M. Salah
↦ C. Gakpo
62′
🔁 C. Bradley
↦ J. Frimpong
68′
🔁 A. Mac Allister
↦ H. Ekitike
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ Y. Akgun
71′
M. Icardi 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
71′
73′
🟨 Conor Bradley
Gabriel Sara 🔁
↦ I. Gundogan
75′
Mauro Icardi 🟨
76′
Ismail Jakobs 🟨
76′
E. Elmali 🔁
↦ B. A. Yilmaz
85′
Uğurcan Çakır 🟨
88′
89′
ℹ️ Ibrahima Konaté
VAR: Penalty cancelled
91′
🟨 Curtis Jones
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
90 W. Singo D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
99 M. Lemina M
11 Y. Akgun M
20 I. Gundogan M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
19 G. Guvenc
3 M. Baltaci
7 R. Sallai
8 Gabriel Sara
9 M. Icardi
10 L. Sane
17 E. Elmali
18 B. Kutlu
21 A. Kutucu
23 K. Ayhan
30 Y. Demir
91 A. Unyay

Coach: Okan Buruk

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
1 Alisson G
8 D. Szoboszlai D
5 I. Konate D
4 V. van Dijk D
6 M. Kerkez D
38 R. Gravenberch M
17 C. Jones M
30 J. Frimpong M
7 F. Wirtz M
18 C. Gakpo M
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (10)
25 G. Mamardashvili
28 F. Woodman
2 J. Gomez
3 W. Endo
9 A. Isak
10 A. Mac Allister
11 M. Salah
12 C. Bradley
26 A. Robertson
73 R. Ngumoha

Coach: Arne Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.