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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Motor Lublin
S U T S T
1–4
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
53%
32%
Both score Ø 51%
57%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,61 xG 2,64
56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motor Lublin 8. · Piast Gliwice 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 31 19 8 4 +28 +10.5 65
2 Lech Poznan 31 20 3 8 +35 +11.3 63
3 Jagiellonia 31 16 8 7 +13 +3.3 56
4 Pogon Szczecin 30 16 5 9 +18 +16.0 53
5 Legia 30 14 8 8 +16 +15.4 50
6 Cracovia 31 12 9 10 +3 -5.7 45
7 Gornik Zabrze 31 12 7 12 +4 +5.9 43
8 Motor Lublin 30 12 7 11 -7 -0.3 43
9 Korona Kielce 31 11 10 10 -7 +0.6 43
10 GKS Katowice 31 12 6 13 +0 -2.3 42
11 Piast Gliwice 31 9 12 10 -3 -3.9 39
12 Radomiak Radom 31 10 7 14 -5 -0.1 37
13 Widzew Lodz 30 10 7 13 -9 -6.4 37
14 Lechia Gdansk 31 9 6 16 -15 -17.5 33
15 Zaglebie 31 9 6 16 -17 -7.4 33
16 Slask Wroclaw 31 6 10 15 -13 -0.8 28
17 Puszcza 31 6 9 16 -23 -17.6 27
18 Stal Mielec 31 6 8 17 -18 -1.0 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motor Lublin Piast Gliwice
1–0 J. Augustin
M. Król
3′
Mbaye Ndiaye 🟨
24′
28′
T. Huk 1–1
G. Tomasiewicz
31′
T. Huk 1–2
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 T. Gale
↦ E. Jirka
S. Mráz 🔁
↦ J. Augustin
58′
P. Ceglarz 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
58′
59′
M. Chrapek 1–3
68′
M. Rosołek 1–4
T. Gale
Sergi Samper 🔁
↦ J. Łabojko
69′
F. Wójcik 🔁
↦ P. Stolarski
69′
C. Simon 🔁
↦ B. Wolski
79′
86′
🔁 L. Pitan
↦ M. Szczepański
90′
🟨 Levis Pitan
Arkadiusz Najemski 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1
33 G. Tratnik G
28 P. Stolarski D
18 A. Najemski D
42 B. Ede D
24 F. Luberecki D
21 J. Łabojko M
26 M. Król M
68 B. Wolski M
37 M. Scalet M
30 M. N'Diaye M
97 J. Augustin F
Bench (9)
90 S. Mráz
77 P. Ceglarz
6 Sergi Samper
17 F. Wójcik
22 C. Simon
1 K. Rosa
3 H. Matthys
19 B. van Hoeven
39 M. Bartoš

Coach: M. Stolarski

Piast Gliwice

4-2-3-1
26 F. Plach G
2 A. Zedadka D
4 J. Czerwiński D
29 I. Drapiński D
5 T. Huk D
96 T. Kostadinov M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
90 E. Jirka M
6 M. Chrapek M
30 M. Szczepański M
39 M. Rosołek F
Bench (9)
11 T. Gale
15 L. Pitan
17 F. Karbowy
3 Miguel Muñoz
36 J. Lewicki
33 K. Szymański
22 T. Mokwa
9 F. Piasecki
31 O. Leśniak

Coach: A. Vuković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.