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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Nurnberg
T S T U T
1–2
Full-time
FC Koln
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 46%
41%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
69%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
5 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 10. · FC Koln 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 32 15 11 6 +30 56
2 FC Koln 32 16 7 9 +10 55
3 Elversberg 32 14 10 8 +23 52
4 Paderborn 32 14 10 8 +12 52
5 Magdeburg 32 13 11 8 +11 50
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 13 11 8 +5 50
7 Kaiserslautern 32 14 8 10 +4 50
8 Hannover 32 13 10 9 +5 49
9 Karlsruhe 32 13 9 10 -1 48
10 Nurnberg 32 13 6 13 +1 45
11 Hertha 32 12 7 13 +0 43
12 Darmstadt 32 10 9 13 +0 39
13 Schalke 04 32 10 8 14 -7 38
14 Greuther Furth 32 9 8 15 -15 35
15 Braunschweig 32 8 11 13 -20 35
16 Preußen Münster 32 7 11 14 -5 32
17 Ulm 32 6 11 15 -7 29
18 Regensburg 32 6 6 20 -46 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Dec -24 FC Koln – Nurnberg 3–1

Match report

Nurnberg FC Koln
4′
ℹ️ Tim Lemperle
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Fabio Gruber 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
T. Kusanović 🔁
↦ M. Emreli
46′
1–0 J. Antiste
46′
Tim Drexler 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 L. Maina
↦ J. Gazibegović
Rafael Lubach 🟨
66′
67′
F. Kainz 1–1
T. Lemperle
75′
🔁 J. Schmied
↦ D. Heintz
O. Villadsen 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
76′
E. Valentini 🔁
↦ T. Janisch
85′
87′
🟨 Denis Huseinbašić
90′
F. Kainz 1–2
T. Lemperle
Enrico Valentini 🟨
93′
L. Chiumento 🔁
↦ R. Lubach
94′
E. Porstner 🔁
↦ R. Knoche
94′
96′
🔁 M. Uth
↦ L. Waldschmidt
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nurnberg

3-5-2
37 M. Kukučka G
5 T. Drexler D
31 R. Knoche D
4 F. Gruber D
32 T. Janisch M
10 J. Justvan M
20 C. Jander M
18 R. Lubach M
21 B. Yılmaz M
30 M. Emreli F
28 J. Antiste F
Bench (9)
42 T. Kusanović
2 O. Villadsen
22 E. Valentini
46 L. Chiumento
41 E. Porstner
26 C. Mathenia
6 F. Flick
38 W. Osawe
14 B. Goller

Coach: M. Klose

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schwäbe G
25 J. Gazibegović D
4 T. Hübers D
3 D. Heintz D
17 L. Paqarada D
6 E. Martel M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
29 J. Thielmann M
9 L. Waldschmidt M
11 F. Kainz M
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
37 L. Maina
2 J. Schmied
13 M. Uth
20 P. Pentke
27 I. Rondić
47 M. Olesen
24 J. Pauli
49 N. Telle
42 D. Downs

Coach: F. Funkel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,17
U
4,33
B ✓
1,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.