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Serie B
Referee: P Tremolada
Reggiana
U T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
22%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
39%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
18 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 16. · Juve Stabia 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
3 Spezia 18 10 7 1 +18 37
4 Juve Stabia 18 7 7 4 +0 28
5 Cremonese 18 7 5 6 +4 26
6 Cesena 18 7 4 7 +2 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 18 4 11 3 +3 23
9 Modena 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
11 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
13 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Sampdoria 18 4 7 7 -6 19
16 Reggiana 18 4 6 8 -5 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Cittadella 18 4 6 8 -14 18
19 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
20 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Juve Stabia
1–0 M. Portanova
A. Vergara
12′
22′
🟨 Davide Buglio
2–0 A. Vergara
24′
Cedric Gondo 🟨
28′
42′
🟨 Andrea Adorante
Half-time 2–0
Mario Sampirisi 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 K. Piscopo
↦ M. Varnier
46′
🔁 E. Piovanello
↦ C. Pierobon
48′
🟨 Marco Bellich
60′
🔁 T. Di Marco
↦ D. Buglio
M. Marras 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
61′
S. Pettinari 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
61′
O. Okwonkwo 🔁
↦ A. Vergara
77′
79′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ G. Leone
82′
A. Adorante 2–1
K. Piscopo
83′
🟨 Kevin Piscopo
Andrea Meroni 🟨
84′
Orji Okwonkwo 🟨
88′
Lorenzo Ignacchiti 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Reggiana

4-3-3
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
13 A. Meroni D
44 L. Lucchesi D
17 L. Libutti D
5 A. Sersanti M
16 T. Reinhart M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
30 A. Vergara F
11 C. Gondo F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (12)
7 M. Marras
23 S. Pettinari
18 O. Okwonkwo
6 L. Štulac
27 M. Maggio
87 Y. Nahounou
99 A. Sposito
10 L. Vido
15 R. Fiamozzi
24 A. Fontanarosa
39 G. Cavallini
29 O. Urso

Coach: W. Viali

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
24 M. Varnier D
6 M. Bellich D
3 Y. Rocchetti M
8 D. Buglio M
55 G. Leone M
29 N. Fortini M
10 C. Pierobon F
27 L. Candellone F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (10)
11 K. Piscopo
99 E. Piovanello
5 T. Di Marco
14 M. Meli
16 A. Signorini
25 A. Gerbo
13 M. Baldi
1 K. Matošević
15 R. Floriani Mussolini
7 F. Zuccon

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
2,96
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,43
U2,5
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.