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Serie B

Referee: F La Penna

Spezia

T U U S U

2–1

Full-time

Venezia

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Venezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 40%

22%

57%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

70%

Both score Ø 56%

49%

62%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

27 Shots 10

11 Shots on target 3

11 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 10

11 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Spezia 15. · Venezia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	37	21	12	4	+31	75
2	Como	37	21	9	7	+18	72
3	Venezia	37	21	7	9	+24	70
4	Cremonese	37	18	10	9	+15	64
5	Catanzaro	37	17	9	11	+11	60
6	Sampdoria	37	15	9	13	+1	54
7	Palermo	37	14	11	12	+8	53
8	Brescia	37	12	15	10	+6	51
9	Sudtirol	37	12	11	14	-1	47
10	Cosenza	37	11	13	13	+5	46
11	Pisa	37	11	13	13	-2	46
12	Cittadella	37	11	13	13	-4	46
13	Reggiana	37	10	16	11	-7	46
14	Modena	37	9	17	11	-7	44
15	Spezia	37	8	17	12	-14	41
16	Ternana	37	10	10	17	-8	40
17	Ascoli	37	8	14	15	-5	38
18	Bari	37	7	17	13	-13	38
19	FeralpiSalo	37	8	9	20	-20	33
20	Lecco	37	6	8	23	-38	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	19	13	3	3	+16	42
2	Parma	19	11	7	1	+17	40
3	Como	18	12	4	2	+13	40
4	Catanzaro	18	9	4	5	+8	31
5	Cremonese	18	8	5	5	+8	29
6	Brescia	19	7	8	4	+7	29
7	Palermo	19	8	4	7	+6	28
8	Cittadella	19	7	6	6	+3	27
9	Pisa	19	6	8	5	+3	26
10	Sudtirol	18	7	5	6	+3	26
11	Sampdoria	19	7	4	8	+0	25
12	Bari	18	5	9	4	+0	24
13	Modena	19	6	6	7	-2	24
14	Spezia	18	5	8	5	+0	23
15	Cosenza	19	5	7	7	+4	22
16	Ternana	19	5	7	7	+0	22
17	Ascoli	18	4	8	6	+2	20
18	Reggiana	18	3	10	5	-8	19
19	FeralpiSalo	18	3	5	10	-8	14
20	Lecco	18	4	2	12	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	18	10	5	3	+14	35
2	Cremonese	19	10	5	4	+7	35
3	Como	19	9	5	5	+5	32
4	Catanzaro	19	8	5	6	+3	29
5	Sampdoria	18	8	5	5	+1	29
6	Venezia	18	8	4	6	+8	28
7	Reggiana	19	7	6	6	+1	27
8	Palermo	18	6	7	5	+2	25
9	Cosenza	18	6	6	6	+1	24
10	Brescia	18	5	7	6	-1	22
11	Sudtirol	19	5	6	8	-4	21
12	Pisa	18	5	5	8	-5	20
13	Modena	18	3	11	4	-5	20
14	Cittadella	18	4	7	7	-7	19
15	FeralpiSalo	19	5	4	10	-12	19
16	Ascoli	19	4	6	9	-7	18
17	Ternana	18	5	3	10	-8	18
18	Spezia	19	3	9	7	-14	18
19	Bari	19	2	8	9	-13	14
20	Lecco	19	2	6	11	-24	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.