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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
St Etienne
T S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Rodez
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 48%
53%
42%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
36%
61%
Both score Ø 50%
31%
69%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 2. · Rodez 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 36 20 10 6 +33 70
2 St Etienne 36 19 7 10 +18 64
3 Angers 36 19 7 10 +13 64
4 Rodez 36 15 11 10 +9 56
5 Paris FC 36 15 10 11 +6 55
6 Caen 36 16 6 14 +3 54
7 Laval 36 14 10 12 -5 52
8 Guingamp 36 13 12 11 +6 51
9 Pau FC 36 13 12 11 +5 51
10 Amiens 36 11 16 9 -2 49
11 Grenoble 36 12 12 12 +0 48
12 Bordeaux 36 13 9 14 -1 48
13 Bastia 36 13 8 15 -5 47
14 Ajaccio 36 12 10 14 -8 46
15 Annecy 36 12 9 15 +0 45
16 Dunkerque 36 12 8 16 -16 44
17 Troyes 36 8 14 14 -8 38
18 Quevilly Rouen 36 6 17 13 -4 35
19 Concarneau 36 9 8 19 -17 35
20 Valenciennes 36 4 12 20 -27 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Rodez
31′
🟨 Stone Muzalimoja Mambo
1–0 M. Nadé
A. Briançon
38′
Dennis Appiah 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
50′
F. Tardieu 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
58′
Y. Maçon 🔁
↦ D. Appiah
72′
N. Mbuku 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
73′
73′
🔁 L. Rajot
↦ W. Younoussa
73′
🔁 T. Arconte
↦ K. Corredor
77′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
79′
L. Rajot 1–1
A. Hountondji
B. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
80′
M. Bentayg 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
80′
Yvann Maçon 🟨
82′
82′
🔁 R. Lipinski
↦ A. Abdallah
83′
🔁 Y. Verdier
↦ A. Hountondji
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
19 L. Pétrot D
29 A. Moueffek M
7 T. Monconduit M
11 I. Cardona M
14 D. Chambost M
18 M. Cafaro M
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
5 F. Tardieu
27 Y. Maçon
10 N. Mbuku
6 B. Bouchouari
13 M. Bentayg
42 E. Green
21 D. Batubinsika

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Rodez

3-1-4-2
40 E. Jaouen G
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
4 S. Mambo D
24 G. Haag M
11 D. Sylla M
7 W. Younoussa M
10 W. Taïbi M
28 A. Abdallah M
12 K. Corredor F
17 A. Hountondji F
Bench (7)
8 L. Rajot
22 T. Arconte
3 R. Lipinski
26 Y. Verdier
5 K. Boma
6 A. Ngouyamsa
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
4,08
B
4,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.