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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Luzern
S U T U U
1–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 31%
35%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
47%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
62%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 7. · Grasshoppers 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 34 20 8 6 +37 +4.0 68
2 Servette 34 17 9 8 +16 +27.9 60
3 Lugano 34 18 5 11 +16 +12.6 59
4 St. Gallen 34 15 8 11 +10 +15.2 53
5 Winterthur 34 13 10 11 -2 -7.1 49
6 Zurich 34 12 12 10 +7 +0.3 48
7 Luzern 34 12 9 13 -5 +1.7 45
8 Yverdon 34 12 7 15 -19 -18.6 43
9 Basel 34 11 8 15 -10 -4.5 41
10 Lausanne 34 10 10 14 -7 +0.6 40
11 Grasshoppers 34 9 6 19 -9 -11.1 33
12 Lausanne Ouchy 34 5 8 21 -34 -21.1 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Grasshoppers
14′
ℹ️ Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–1
59′
A. Seko 0–1
62′
🟨 Dirk Abels
65′
🟨 Ayumu Seko
N. Haas 🔁
↦ L. Winkler
67′
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ J. Kadák
67′
68′
🔁 T. Ndenge
↦ A. Abrashi
68′
🔁 F. Momoh
↦ Asumah Abubakar
K. Ademi 🔁
↦ L. Villiger
70′
74′
🔁 D. Babunski
↦ F. de Carvalho
Pius Dorn 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 L. Bollati
↦ D. Abels
81′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ A. Mabil
D. Ulrich 🔁
↦ S. Ottiger
84′
1–1 A. Grbic
P. Dorn
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 P. Loretz G
2 S. Ottiger D
4 L. Jaquez D
3 J. Löfgren D
33 L. Meyer D
29 L. Winkler M
6 A. Jashari M
20 P. Dorn M
16 J. Kadák M
9 A. Grbic F
27 L. Villiger F
Bench (9)
32 N. Haas
7 M. Meyer
99 K. Ademi
22 D. Ulrich
26 I. Hegglin
17 T. Klidje
23 M. Willimann
90 V. Vasić
11 T. Okou

Coach: M. Frick

Grasshoppers

4-2-3-1
71 J. Hammel G
2 D. Abels D
26 M. Paskotši D
5 J. Laws D
14 T. Ndicka D
15 A. Seko M
6 A. Abrashi M
21 A. Mabil M
8 G. Morandi M
77 F. de Carvalho M
27 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
7 T. Ndenge
22 F. Momoh
99 D. Babunski
54 L. Bollati
11 P. Schürpf
73 F. Hoxha
90 S. Deana
70 O. Batista Meier
57 E. Zukaj

Coach: M. Schällibaum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.