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Ligue 2
Referee: J Pignard
Dunkerque
T S T T S
2–2
Full-time
Caen
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 45%
42%
47%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 16. · Caen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 36 20 10 6 +33 70
2 St Etienne 36 19 7 10 +18 64
3 Angers 36 19 7 10 +13 64
4 Rodez 36 15 11 10 +9 56
5 Paris FC 36 15 10 11 +6 55
6 Caen 36 16 6 14 +3 54
7 Laval 36 14 10 12 -5 52
8 Guingamp 36 13 12 11 +6 51
9 Pau FC 36 13 12 11 +5 51
10 Amiens 36 11 16 9 -2 49
11 Grenoble 36 12 12 12 +0 48
12 Bordeaux 36 13 9 14 -1 48
13 Bastia 36 13 8 15 -5 47
14 Ajaccio 36 12 10 14 -8 46
15 Annecy 36 12 9 15 +0 45
16 Dunkerque 36 12 8 16 -16 44
17 Troyes 36 8 14 14 -8 38
18 Quevilly Rouen 36 6 17 13 -4 35
19 Concarneau 36 9 8 19 -17 35
20 Valenciennes 36 4 12 20 -27 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Caen
2′
Alexandre Mendy 0–1
N. Lebreton
23′
🟨 Diabe Bolumbu
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Opa Sanganté
Y. Bilingi
50′
Benjaloud Youssouf 🟨
55′
55′
🔁 T. Gomis
↦ A. Salama
A. Laaziri 🔁
↦ A. Maurer
68′
68′
D. Debohi 1–2
B. Brahimi
75′
🔁 Q. Daubin
↦ D. Debohi
2–2 J. Gbamin
77′
E. Bah 🔁
↦ G. Yassine
79′
82′
🔁 M. Le Bihan
↦ G. Kyeremeh
82′
🔁 M. Autret
↦ B. Brahimi
A. Ba 🔁
↦ B. Lagae
90′
T. Keita 🔁
↦ E. Bardeli
91′
Gaëtan Courtet 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-3-3
30 M. Koné G
19 B. Youssouf D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 B. Lagae D
7 Y. Bilingi D
10 J. Anziani M
25 J. Gbamin M
20 E. Bardeli M
80 G. Yassine F
18 G. Courtet F
92 A. Maurer F
Bench (7)
15 A. Laaziri
24 E. Bah
8 T. Keita
2 A. Ba
16 A. Balijon
13 J. Senneville
3 L. Bessilé

Coach: Luís Castro

Caen

4-4-1-1
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
3 D. Bolumbu D
17 G. Kyeremeh M
97 D. Debohi
20 N. Lebreton M
15 A. Salama M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
7 T. Gomis
6 Q. Daubin
11 M. Le Bihan
23 M. Autret
16 Y. Clémentia
5 S. Ben Youssef
92 A. Coeff

Coach: N. Seube

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U ✓
3,42
B
2,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.