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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Pau FC

S S U T T

1–2

Full-time

Bastia

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

58%

44%

Both score Ø 52%

61%

42%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

6 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Bastia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	36	20	10	6	+33	70
2	St Etienne	36	19	7	10	+18	64
3	Angers	36	19	7	10	+13	64
4	Rodez	36	15	11	10	+9	56
5	Paris FC	36	15	10	11	+6	55
6	Caen	36	16	6	14	+3	54
7	Laval	36	14	10	12	-5	52
8	Guingamp	36	13	12	11	+6	51
9	Pau FC	36	13	12	11	+5	51
10	Amiens	36	11	16	9	-2	49
11	Grenoble	36	12	12	12	+0	48
12	Bordeaux	36	13	9	14	-1	48
13	Bastia	36	13	8	15	-5	47
14	Ajaccio	36	12	10	14	-8	46
15	Annecy	36	12	9	15	+0	45
16	Dunkerque	36	12	8	16	-16	44
17	Troyes	36	8	14	14	-8	38
18	Quevilly Rouen	36	6	17	13	-4	35
19	Concarneau	36	9	8	19	-17	35
20	Valenciennes	36	4	12	20	-27	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	18	13	3	2	+16	42
2	Auxerre	18	11	5	2	+22	38
3	Ajaccio	18	10	6	2	+13	36
4	Rodez	18	9	6	3	+11	33
5	St Etienne	18	10	3	5	+10	33
6	Caen	18	10	3	5	+10	33
7	Bordeaux	18	9	5	4	+11	32
8	Paris FC	18	9	4	5	+9	31
9	Grenoble	18	7	7	4	+4	28
10	Bastia	18	8	4	6	-1	28
11	Pau FC	18	7	6	5	+6	27
12	Troyes	18	7	4	7	+3	25
13	Amiens	18	5	9	4	+1	24
14	Laval	18	6	5	7	-7	23
15	Guingamp	18	5	7	6	+4	22
16	Annecy	18	5	6	7	-4	21
17	Concarneau	18	4	5	9	-10	17
18	Quevilly Rouen	18	3	7	8	-4	16
19	Valenciennes	18	3	6	9	-10	15
20	Dunkerque	18	4	3	11	-15	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	18	9	5	4	+11	32
2	St Etienne	18	9	4	5	+8	31
3	Laval	18	8	5	5	+2	29
4	Guingamp	18	8	5	5	+2	29
5	Dunkerque	18	8	5	5	-1	29
6	Amiens	18	6	7	5	-3	25
7	Annecy	18	7	3	8	+4	24
8	Pau FC	18	6	6	6	-1	24
9	Paris FC	18	6	6	6	-3	24
10	Rodez	18	6	5	7	-2	23
11	Angers	18	6	4	8	-3	22
12	Caen	18	6	3	9	-7	21
13	Grenoble	18	5	5	8	-4	20
14	Quevilly Rouen	18	3	10	5	+0	19
15	Bastia	18	5	4	9	-4	19
16	Concarneau	18	5	3	10	-7	18
17	Bordeaux	18	4	4	10	-12	16
18	Troyes	18	1	10	7	-11	13
19	Ajaccio	18	2	4	12	-21	10
20	Valenciennes	18	1	6	11	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.