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Serie B

Referee: F Fourneau

Venezia

U S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Spezia

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 23

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 12

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 4. · Spezia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Catanzaro	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Parma	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Modena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Bari	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Cremonese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	+1	4
11	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Como	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Pisa	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Ascoli	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Reggiana	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Catanzaro	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Cremonese	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ternana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Catanzaro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bari	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Como	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Reggiana	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ascoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	FeralpiSalo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.