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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Paris FC
S S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Guingamp
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
44%
47%
Both score Ø 43%
47%
39%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 5. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 36 20 10 6 +33 70
2 St Etienne 36 19 7 10 +18 64
3 Angers 36 19 7 10 +13 64
4 Rodez 36 15 11 10 +9 56
5 Paris FC 36 15 10 11 +6 55
6 Caen 36 16 6 14 +3 54
7 Laval 36 14 10 12 -5 52
8 Guingamp 36 13 12 11 +6 51
9 Pau FC 36 13 12 11 +5 51
10 Amiens 36 11 16 9 -2 49
11 Grenoble 36 12 12 12 +0 48
12 Bordeaux 36 13 9 14 -1 48
13 Bastia 36 13 8 15 -5 47
14 Ajaccio 36 12 10 14 -8 46
15 Annecy 36 12 9 15 +0 45
16 Dunkerque 36 12 8 16 -16 44
17 Troyes 36 8 14 14 -8 38
18 Quevilly Rouen 36 6 17 13 -4 35
19 Concarneau 36 9 8 19 -17 35
20 Valenciennes 36 4 12 20 -27 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-3-1-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
13 K. Dabila D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
27 J. Gaudin D
18 L. Doucet M
14 C. Mandouki M
17 A. Camara M
4 V. Marchetti M
38 A. Jabbari F
12 N. Dicko F
Bench (7)
10 I. Kebbal
6 P. Lasne
7 A. Gory
2 T. Ollila
20 J. López
1 R. Riou
23 J. Lukembila

Coach: S. Gilli

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
31 L. Maronnier D
24 P. Lemonnier D
2 B. Roux D
6 L. Vallier D
10 M. Merghem M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
20 H. Picard M
11 A. Sagna F
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (7)
22 V. Lobry
18 L. Phiri
21 B. Guillaume
29 U. Bonnet
15 V. Manceau
30 B. Niasse
19 J. Iglesias

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
U
3,20
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.