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Serie B

Parma

T U S U U

1–1

Full-time

Cittadella

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

43%

32%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

19 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 2

17 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Parma 13. · Cittadella 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	28	14	11	3	+22	53
2	Cremonese	28	15	8	5	+18	53
3	Pisa	28	14	10	4	+14	52
4	Brescia	28	14	9	5	+15	51
5	Monza	28	13	9	6	+13	48
6	Benevento	27	13	8	6	+18	47
7	Frosinone	28	11	12	5	+13	45
8	Ascoli	28	12	7	9	+3	43
9	Perugia	28	10	12	6	+6	42
10	Cittadella	28	11	9	8	+4	42
11	Reggina	28	11	6	11	-8	39
12	Como	28	8	12	8	-4	36
13	Parma	28	7	13	8	+3	34
14	Ternana	28	9	7	12	-6	34
15	Spal	28	7	10	11	-8	31
16	Alessandria	28	6	7	15	-14	25
17	Cosenza	27	5	8	14	-18	23
18	Vicenza	28	5	6	17	-18	21
19	Crotone	28	2	10	16	-19	16
20	Pordenone	28	2	6	20	-34	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	14	9	4	1	+18	31
2	Monza	14	9	3	2	+13	30
3	Cremonese	14	8	5	1	+11	29
4	Pisa	14	7	6	1	+7	27
5	Benevento	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Frosinone	14	6	6	2	+10	24
7	Reggina	14	7	2	5	+0	23
8	Cittadella	14	6	3	5	+5	21
9	Brescia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
10	Ternana	14	6	1	7	+0	19
11	Parma	14	4	6	4	+5	18
12	Perugia	14	4	6	4	+2	18
13	Como	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Ascoli	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Cosenza	13	5	2	6	-2	17
16	Alessandria	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Spal	14	3	6	5	+2	15
18	Crotone	14	2	7	5	-4	13
19	Vicenza	14	3	4	7	-5	13
20	Pordenone	14	1	4	9	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	14	9	3	2	+11	30
2	Ascoli	14	8	2	4	+5	26
3	Pisa	14	7	4	3	+7	25
4	Cremonese	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Perugia	14	6	6	2	+4	24
6	Benevento	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Lecce	14	5	7	2	+4	22
8	Frosinone	14	5	6	3	+3	21
9	Cittadella	14	5	6	3	-1	21
10	Monza	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Como	14	4	6	4	-5	18
12	Parma	14	3	7	4	-2	16
13	Reggina	14	4	4	6	-8	16
14	Spal	14	4	4	6	-10	16
15	Ternana	14	3	6	5	-6	15
16	Alessandria	14	2	3	9	-9	9
17	Vicenza	14	2	2	10	-13	8
18	Cosenza	14	0	6	8	-16	6
19	Pordenone	14	1	2	11	-20	5
20	Crotone	14	0	3	11	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.