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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Como
U S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Modena
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 5. · Modena 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 15 10 3 2 +16 33
2 Venezia 16 10 3 3 +12 33
3 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
4 Cremonese 16 8 5 3 +10 29
5 Como 15 8 4 3 +4 28
6 Cittadella 16 8 4 4 +2 28
7 Modena 15 7 5 3 +2 26
8 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Sampdoria 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Bari 16 4 9 3 -1 21
11 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
12 Brescia 15 4 6 5 -1 18
13 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
14 Sudtirol 16 4 5 7 -1 17
15 Reggiana 15 3 7 5 -4 16
16 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
17 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
18 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
19 Spezia 16 2 7 7 -9 13
20 FeralpiSalo 16 1 4 11 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Modena
Lucas Da Cunha 🟨
32′
M. Chajia 🔁
↦ L. Kerrigan
32′
1–0 S. Verdi
42′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Edoardo Duca
52′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ L. Tremolada
56′
G. Zaro 1–1
59′
ℹ️ Giovanni Zaro
VAR: Goal confirmed
A. Gabrielloni 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
65′
70′
🟨 Kleis Bozhanaj
70′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ D. Falcinelli
71′
🔁 A. Riccio
↦ M. Cotali
Cas Odenthal 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
80′
83′
🟨 Alessandro Pio Riccio
2–1 A. Gabrielloni
87′
88′
🟨 Luca Strizzolo
89′
🔁 R. Giovannini
↦ J. Manconi
90′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ E. Duca
T. Arrigoni 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
91′
T. Cassandro 🔁
↦ L. da Cunha
91′
Federico Barba 🟥
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Como

4-2-3-1
1 A. Šemper G
5 M. Curto D
26 C. Odenthal D
93 F. Barba D
3 M. Sala D
28 O. Abildgaard M
14 A. Bellemo M
20 L. Kerrigan M
90 S. Verdi M
33 L. da Cunha M
10 P. Cutrone F
Bench (11)
7 M. Chajia
9 A. Gabrielloni
21 T. Arrigoni
84 T. Cassandro
17 F. Chinetti
27 A. Cerri
11 Álex Blanco
32 F. Rispoli
22 M. Vigorito
4 M. Solini
80 L. Vignali

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Modena

4-3-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
3 F. Ponsi D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
29 M. Cotali D
7 E. Duca M
6 L. Magnino M
5 A. Palumbo M
17 J. Manconi M
10 L. Tremolada M
11 D. Falcinelli F
Bench (12)
30 K. Bozhanaj
32 L. Strizzolo
27 A. Riccio
21 R. Giovannini
90 F. Abiuso
42 L. Mondele
8 A. Guiébré
23 T. Battistella
20 M. Gargiulo
9 N. Bonfanti
96 S. Oukhadda
22 F. Vandelli

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,19
B
3,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.