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Serie B

Referee: M Gualtieri

Spezia

U T T T T

0–0

Full-time

Brescia

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 5/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

60%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

2,8

1,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 20. · Brescia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Venezia	6	3	3	0	+5	12
3	Modena	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Catanzaro	6	3	2	1	+0	11
5	Palermo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Como	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Cremonese	7	2	4	1	+1	10
8	Sudtirol	5	2	3	0	+4	9
9	Cosenza	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Bari	6	1	5	0	+1	8
11	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-3	8
12	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
13	Pisa	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Reggiana	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Ascoli	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	FeralpiSalo	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Ternana	6	0	2	4	-4	2
19	Lecco	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Spezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Modena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Catanzaro	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	+1	4
7	Como	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Palermo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Bari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Cremonese	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Ternana	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	FeralpiSalo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Lecco	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Parma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Como	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Pisa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sudtirol	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Catanzaro	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Sampdoria	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Venezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Modena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	FeralpiSalo	4	1	0	3	-7	3
17	Lecco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Ascoli	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.