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Puchar Polski
Referee: S Rasmus

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SKRA Częstochowa Polonia Warszawa
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Garbarnia Kraków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
19 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
20 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
22 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
37 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SKRA Częstochowa Polonia Warszawa
1′
M. Kowalski-Haberek 0–1
M. Labojko 🟨
28′
1–1 M. Maćkowiak
38′
Half-time 1–2
50′
P. Tomczyk 1–2
2–2 Z. Wojciechowski
52′
63′
🔁 B. Biedrzycki
↦ N. Zawistowski
63′
🔁 S. Kobusiński
↦ P. Tomczyk
F. Grzelka 🔁
↦ D. Wojtyra
67′
T. Kubik 🔁
↦ Z. Wojciechowski
67′
69′
🟨 M. Bajdur
73′
🔁 J. Piątek
↦ P. Marciniec
73′
🔁 M. Kluska
↦ M. Michalski
J. Ciućka 🔁
↦ P. Sajdak
82′
M. Winciersz 🔁
↦ M. Maćkowiak
82′
86′
🔁 V. Okhronchuk
↦ M. Bajdur
F. Grzelka 🟨
88′
96′
🟨 S. Kobusinski
96′
S. Kobusiński 2–3
A. Mesjasz 🔁
↦ F. Nawrocki
101′
106′
🟨 J. Piatek
M. Winciersz 🟨
107′
109′
🟨 V. Okhronchuk
A. Olejnik 🟨
109′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

SKRA Częstochowa

J. Rajczykowski
M. Maćkowiak
M. Bartosiak
Z. Wojciechowski
F. Nawrocki
P. Nocoń
A. Olejnik
P. Sajdak
M. Łabojko
D. Wojtyra
O. Wypart
Bench (9)
F. Grzelka
T. Kubik
J. Ciućka
M. Winciersz
A. Mesjasz
J. Hajda
J. Niedbała
O. Kucharczyk
P. Kołodziejczyk

Coach: K. Gerega

Polonia Warszawa

J. Lemanowicz
T. Wełna
M. Kowalski-Haberek
D. Pawłowski
N. Zawistowski
J. Majsterek
M. Michalski
M. Bajdur
P. Marciniec
O. Wojciechowski
P. Tomczyk
Bench (9)
B. Biedrzycki
S. Kobusiński
J. Piątek
M. Kluska
V. Okhronchuk
A. Sandach
J. Radziński
M. Grudniewski
Ł. Piątek

Coach: R. Smalec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.