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Serie B

Referee: G Miele

Cagliari

S U U U U

4–1

Full-time

Ascoli

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,2

Scored

0,5

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

32%

36%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

2,1

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 8. · Ascoli 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	28	19	4	5	+30	61
2	Genoa	28	14	9	5	+16	51
3	Bari	28	13	10	5	+18	49
4	Sudtirol	28	12	11	5	+4	47
5	Pisa	28	10	12	6	+12	42
6	Reggina	28	13	3	12	+8	42
7	Parma	28	11	7	10	+4	40
8	Cagliari	28	9	12	7	+2	39
9	Palermo	28	9	11	8	-2	38
10	Ascoli	28	9	9	10	-2	36
11	Ternana	28	9	9	10	-7	36
12	Modena	28	10	5	13	+0	35
13	Como	28	8	11	9	-3	35
14	Cittadella	28	8	10	10	-9	34
15	Perugia	28	8	6	14	-4	30
16	Venezia	28	7	8	13	-9	29
17	Spal	28	6	10	12	-8	28
18	Benevento	28	6	10	12	-8	28
19	Brescia	28	6	9	13	-18	27
20	Cosenza	28	6	8	14	-24	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	14	11	2	1	+20	35
2	Cagliari	14	8	4	2	+6	28
3	Genoa	14	7	6	1	+13	27
4	Reggina	14	7	2	5	+8	23
5	Palermo	14	6	5	3	+4	23
6	Ternana	14	6	5	3	+3	23
7	Sudtirol	15	5	8	2	+2	23
8	Pisa	14	6	4	4	+8	22
9	Parma	14	7	1	6	+5	22
10	Como	14	6	4	4	+4	22
11	Bari	14	5	6	3	+8	21
12	Cosenza	14	5	5	4	+1	20
13	Modena	13	5	4	4	+6	19
14	Perugia	13	5	4	4	+3	19
15	Cittadella	13	4	6	3	-1	18
16	Brescia	15	4	5	6	-4	17
17	Spal	15	4	4	7	-1	16
18	Ascoli	14	3	5	6	-4	14
19	Venezia	14	3	4	7	-6	13
20	Benevento	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	14	8	4	2	+10	28
2	Frosinone	14	8	2	4	+10	26
3	Genoa	14	7	3	4	+3	24
4	Sudtirol	13	7	3	3	+2	24
5	Ascoli	14	6	4	4	+2	22
6	Pisa	14	4	8	2	+4	20
7	Reggina	14	6	1	7	+0	19
8	Parma	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Benevento	14	3	7	4	+0	16
10	Venezia	14	4	4	6	-3	16
11	Modena	15	5	1	9	-6	16
12	Cittadella	15	4	4	7	-8	16
13	Palermo	14	3	6	5	-6	15
14	Como	14	2	7	5	-7	13
15	Ternana	14	3	4	7	-10	13
16	Spal	13	2	6	5	-7	12
17	Cagliari	14	1	8	5	-4	11
18	Perugia	15	3	2	10	-7	11
19	Brescia	13	2	4	7	-14	10
20	Cosenza	14	1	3	10	-25	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.