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Championship
Referee: J Linington
Huddersfield
S U S T S
2–5
Full-time
Stoke
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Championship · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
28%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
48%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 20. · Stoke 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 25 15 6 4 +22 51
2 West Brom 25 14 9 2 +20 51
3 Fulham 23 12 5 6 +12 41
4 Nott'm Forest 24 11 7 6 +8 40
5 Millwall 26 10 10 6 +2 40
6 Sheffield Weds 25 11 6 8 +12 39
7 Preston 25 11 6 8 +6 39
8 Swansea 23 10 8 5 +6 38
9 Bristol City 25 10 8 7 +3 38
10 Hull 25 10 6 9 +5 36
11 Cardiff 24 9 9 6 +3 36
12 Blackburn 25 10 6 9 +1 36
13 Reading 24 9 5 10 +4 32
14 QPR 25 9 5 11 -9 32
15 Brentford 22 9 4 9 +11 31
16 Middlesbrough 25 7 9 9 -8 30
17 Derby 25 7 9 9 -9 30
18 Birmingham 25 8 5 12 -11 29
19 Charlton 25 7 7 11 -2 28
20 Huddersfield 25 7 7 11 -9 28
21 Stoke 25 6 3 16 -12 21
22 Barnsley 25 4 9 12 -15 21
23 Luton 26 6 3 17 -24 21
24 Wigan 25 4 8 13 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Stoke
15′
S. Vokes 0–1
N. Powell
Jonathan Hogg 🟨
23′
27′
🟨 Liam Lindsay
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Mounié
K. Ahearne-Grant
48′
1–2 D. Batth
own goal
50′
Karlan Grant 🟨
55′
57′
N. Powell 1–3
T. Campbell
Danny Simpson 🟨
59′
Lewis O'Brien 🟨
65′
66′
T. Campbell 1–4
70′
T. Campbell 1–5
S. Vokes
F. Campbell 🔁
↦ J. Hogg
71′
F. Hadërgjonaj 🔁
↦ D. Simpson
74′
80′
🟨 Tommy Smith
Fraizer Campbell 🟨
82′
85′
🔁 L. Gregory
↦ N. Powell
90′
L. Gregory 1–6
J. McClean
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-4-2
1 K. Grabara G
17 D. Simpson D
26 C. Schindler D
27 J. Stankovič D
8 T. Chalobah M
28 J. Brown D
6 J. Hogg M
7 J. Bacuna M
39 L. O'Brien M
24 S. Mounié F
16 K. Ahearne-Grant F
Bench (7)
22 F. Campbell
33 F. Hadërgjonaj
13 J. Coleman
35 R. Edmonds-Green
38 D. Duhaney
19 J. Koroma
41 M. Daly

Coach: D. Cowley

Stoke

4-3-3
1 J. Butland G
6 D. Batth D
15 B. Martins Indi D
14 T. Smith D
5 L. Lindsay D
4 J. Allen M
11 J. McClean F
22 S. Clucas M
25 N. Powell M
9 S. Vokes F
26 T. Campbell F
Bench (7)
19 L. Gregory
24 J. Cousins
37 N. Collins
16 A. Davies
38 R. Woods
7 T. Ince
3 S. Ward

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,07
B ✓
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.