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Serie B

Perugia

U T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Cittadella

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

31%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 5

19 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 10. · Cittadella 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	14	8	4	2	+10	28
2	Brescia	14	8	3	3	+9	27
3	Lecce	14	6	7	1	+11	25
4	Frosinone	14	5	8	1	+8	23
5	Benevento	14	6	4	4	+9	22
6	Cremonese	14	6	4	4	+4	22
7	Ascoli	14	6	4	4	+2	22
8	Monza	14	5	7	2	+2	22
9	Reggina	14	6	4	4	-1	22
10	Perugia	13	5	5	3	+2	20
11	Cittadella	13	6	2	5	+0	20
12	Como	13	5	4	4	+3	19
13	Ternana	14	5	3	6	+1	18
14	Spal	14	4	5	5	+3	17
15	Parma	13	4	5	4	-1	17
16	Cosenza	14	4	3	7	-7	15
17	Alessandria	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Crotone	14	1	5	8	-12	8
19	Vicenza	14	2	1	11	-14	7
20	Pordenone	14	0	4	10	-20	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Monza	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Lecce	7	4	3	0	+10	15
4	Benevento	8	4	2	2	+7	14
5	Cittadella	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Cosenza	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Cremonese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Brescia	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Frosinone	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Reggina	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Como	6	3	1	2	+3	10
12	Ternana	7	3	1	3	+2	10
13	Alessandria	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	Spal	7	2	3	2	+4	9
15	Parma	6	2	3	1	+1	9
16	Perugia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Ascoli	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Crotone	8	1	4	3	-5	7
19	Pordenone	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Vicenza	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Ascoli	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Frosinone	6	3	3	0	+7	12
4	Perugia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Reggina	7	3	2	2	-2	11
7	Lecce	7	2	4	1	+1	10
8	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Como	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Benevento	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Ternana	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Spal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Parma	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Cittadella	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Monza	8	0	6	2	-4	6
16	Vicenza	8	2	0	6	-7	6
17	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-6	4
18	Pordenone	7	0	2	5	-10	2
19	Cosenza	7	0	2	5	-11	2
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.