Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Schalke 04
Heidenheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 52 |
| 2 |
Darmstadt
|
28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 51 |
| 3 |
St Pauli
|
28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 4 |
Schalke 04
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +22 | 50 |
| 5 |
Nurnberg
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +4 | 46 |
| 6 |
Hamburg
|
28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heidenheim
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +1 | 45 |
| 8 |
Paderborn
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 40 |
| 9 |
Karlsruhe
|
28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 38 |
| 10 |
Regensburg
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 38 |
| 11 |
Hansa Rostock
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 13 |
Holstein Kiel
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 |
Hannover
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 32 |
| 15 |
Sandhausen
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 |
Dresden
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 28 |
| 17 | Ingolstadt | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | -29 | 19 |
| 18 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -32 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Dresden
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Hannover
Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Hansa Rostock
Karlsruhe
Schalke 04
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.