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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Hertha

T T T S T

1–4

Full-time

Union Berlin

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

39%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

68%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

54%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 12

2 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 17. · Union Berlin 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	22	3	4	+57	69
2	Dortmund	29	19	3	7	+28	60
3	Leverkusen	28	15	6	7	+26	51
4	RB Leipzig	28	14	6	8	+30	48
5	Freiburg	28	12	9	7	+11	45
6	Hoffenheim	28	13	5	10	+8	44
7	FC Koln	29	11	10	8	-2	43
8	Union Berlin	28	11	8	9	-4	41
9	Ein Frankfurt	28	10	9	9	+1	39
10	Mainz	29	11	5	13	+7	38
11	M'gladbach	29	10	7	12	-11	37
12	Bochum	28	10	5	13	-10	35
13	Wolfsburg	29	10	4	15	-12	34
14	Augsburg	29	8	8	13	-12	32
15	Stuttgart	29	6	9	14	-17	27
16	Bielefeld	29	5	11	13	-20	26
17	Hertha	28	7	5	16	-32	26
18	Greuther Furth	29	3	7	19	-48	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	12	1	2	+31	37
2	Dortmund	14	11	0	3	+19	33
3	Mainz	14	9	3	2	+20	30
4	RB Leipzig	14	9	2	3	+20	29
5	FC Koln	15	8	4	3	+5	28
6	Union Berlin	14	8	4	2	+5	28
7	Hoffenheim	14	8	3	3	+13	27
8	Leverkusen	14	8	2	4	+14	26
9	Freiburg	14	7	4	3	+7	25
10	Bochum	14	7	3	4	+5	24
11	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+2	22
12	Augsburg	14	6	4	4	+2	22
13	Wolfsburg	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Stuttgart	15	5	3	7	-5	18
15	Hertha	14	5	3	6	-7	18
16	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	5	5	-1	17
17	Bielefeld	14	2	8	4	-5	14
18	Greuther Furth	15	3	5	7	-13	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+26	32
2	Dortmund	15	8	3	4	+9	27
3	Leverkusen	14	7	4	3	+12	25
4	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Freiburg	14	5	5	4	+4	20
6	RB Leipzig	14	5	4	5	+10	19
7	Hoffenheim	14	5	2	7	-5	17
8	FC Koln	14	3	6	5	-7	15
9	M'gladbach	15	4	3	8	-13	15
10	Wolfsburg	14	4	2	8	-11	14
11	Union Berlin	14	3	4	7	-9	13
12	Bielefeld	15	3	3	9	-15	12
13	Bochum	14	3	2	9	-15	11
14	Augsburg	15	2	4	9	-14	10
15	Stuttgart	14	1	6	7	-12	9
16	Mainz	15	2	2	11	-13	8
17	Hertha	14	2	2	10	-25	8
18	Greuther Furth	14	0	2	12	-35	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.