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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Clermont
U T T T T
1–6
Full-time
Paris SG
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 47%
23%
70%
Points per game
0,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
57%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,0
2,1
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 17. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 30 21 5 4 +36 68
2 Rennes 31 17 5 9 +36 56
3 Marseille 30 16 8 6 +20 56
4 Nice 30 15 7 8 +16 52
5 Strasbourg 30 14 9 7 +19 51
6 Monaco 30 13 8 9 +14 47
7 Lille 30 12 11 7 +3 47
8 Lyon 30 12 10 8 +4 46
9 Nantes 30 13 6 11 +6 45
10 Lens 30 12 8 10 +5 44
11 Montpellier 30 12 5 13 +2 41
12 Brest 30 10 8 12 -6 38
13 Reims 31 8 12 11 -1 36
14 Angers 30 8 8 14 -10 32
15 Troyes 30 8 8 14 -14 32
16 Lorient 31 7 10 14 -19 31
17 Clermont 30 7 7 16 -24 28
18 St Etienne 31 6 9 16 -28 27
19 Metz 30 4 11 15 -27 23
20 Bordeaux 30 4 11 15 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Sep -21 Paris SG – Clermont 4–0

Match report

Clermont Paris SG
6′
Neymar 0–1
L. Messi
19′
K. Mbappé 0–2
L. Messi
1–2 J. Dossou
42′
Half-time 1–2
53′
🟨 Neymar
J. Allevinah 🔁
↦ J. Dossou
66′
L. Da Cunha 🔁
↦ S. Khaoui
67′
G. Kyei 🔁
↦ J. Berthomier
67′
67′
🔁 G. Wijnaldum
↦ I. Gueye
Johan Gastien 🟨
70′
71′
Neymar 1–3
74′
K. Mbappé 1–4
Neymar
79′
🔁 T. Kehrer
↦ P. Kimpembe
80′
K. Mbappé 1–5
L. Messi
83′
Neymar 1–6
K. Mbappé
Oriol Busquets 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
84′
85′
🔁 E. Michut
↦ M. Verratti
85′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ Nuno Mendes
86′
🔁 E. Ebimbe
↦ A. Hakimi
F. Ogier 🔁
↦ J. Billong
90′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Clermont

4-2-3-1
1 A. Desmas G
20 A. Zedadka D
5 J. Billong D
15 A. Mendy D
36 A. Seidu D
25 J. Gastien M
8 J. Berthomier M
24 J. Dossou M
6 S. Khaoui M
7 Y. Magnin M
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
11 J. Allevinah
10 L. Da Cunha
9 G. Kyei
22 Oriol Busquets
21 F. Ogier
40 O. Djoco
23 J. Phojo
29 N. Jaby
17 J. Albert

Coach: P. Gastien

Paris SG

4-3-3
50 G. Donnarumma G
4 Sergio Ramos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
2 A. Hakimi D
25 Nuno Mendes D
6 M. Verratti M
27 I. Gueye M
15 Danilo Pereira M
30 L. Messi F
10 Neymar F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
18 G. Wijnaldum
24 T. Kehrer
38 E. Michut
14 Juan Bernat
28 E. Ebimbe
17 C. Dagba
31 E. Bitshiabu
9 M. Icardi
60 A. Letellier

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,44
U
5,56
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.