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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Millwall
U S T U T
4–1
Full-time
Barnsley
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 41/40 matches
Win Ø 26%
37%
15%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
34%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
51%
45%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 14. · Barnsley 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 41 27 8 6 +63 89
2 Bournemouth 41 21 12 8 +27 75
3 Sheffield United 41 20 9 12 +18 69
4 Huddersfield 40 19 12 9 +14 69
5 Luton 41 19 11 11 +17 68
6 Middlesbrough 41 20 8 13 +17 68
7 Blackburn 41 18 11 12 +14 65
8 West Brom 42 17 12 13 +11 63
9 Nott'm Forest 36 18 8 10 +23 62
10 Coventry 42 17 11 14 +7 62
11 Swansea 41 17 9 15 -2 60
12 Preston 42 15 15 12 -2 60
13 QPR 42 17 8 17 +0 59
14 Millwall 41 15 13 13 +1 58
15 Stoke 42 15 11 16 +6 56
16 Blackpool 40 15 10 15 -1 55
17 Derby 42 13 13 16 -6 52
18 Cardiff 41 14 8 19 -11 50
19 Bristol City 42 13 9 20 -20 48
20 Reading 42 13 8 21 -26 47
21 Birmingham 42 11 13 18 -18 46
22 Hull 42 12 8 22 -10 44
23 Barnsley 40 6 12 22 -26 30
24 Peterboro 41 6 10 25 -48 28
25 Peterborough 40 6 9 25 -48 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Barnsley
24′
🔁 J. Walton
↦ B. Collins
26′
🟨 Liam Kitching
1–0 D. McNamara
31′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. McNamara
S. Malone
47′
49′
R. Palmer 2–1
3–1 O. Burke
58′
61′
🔁 V. Adeboyejo
↦ C. Styles
Benik Afobe 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 A. Leya
↦ R. Palmer
4–1 B. Afobe
72′
T. Burey 🔁
↦ O. Burke
77′
T. Bradshaw 🔁
↦ J. Wallace
81′
R. Leonard 🔁
↦ D. McNamara
81′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Millwall

3-4-1-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
11 S. Malone M
3 M. Wallace D
5 J. Cooper D
26 D. Ballard D
2 D. McNamara M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
7 J. Wallace F
10 O. Burke F
24 B. Mitchell M
23 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
32 T. Burey
9 T. Bradshaw
18 R. Leonard
28 G. Evans
1 G. Long
17 G. Saville
14 S. Ojo

Coach: G. Rowett

Barnsley

4-2-3-1
40 B. Collins G
6 M. Andersen D
7 C. Brittain D
5 L. Kitching D
26 R. Vita D
27 A. Bassi M
28 Domingos Quina M
17 C. Gomes M
21 R. Palmer M
14 C. Morris F
4 C. Styles M
Bench (7)
1 J. Walton
29 V. Adeboyejo
11 A. Leya
18 I. Christie-Davies
22 C. Oduor
33 M. Wolfe
15 J. Moon

Coach: P. Asbaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,52
B
5,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.