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Championship

Referee: T Robinson

Stoke

S U T S U

1–0

Full-time

West Brom

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Championship · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 57%

50%

64%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

55%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 5

6 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 5. · West Brom 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	11	7	4	0	+13	25
2	Bournemouth	11	6	5	0	+9	23
3	Coventry	11	7	1	3	+4	22
4	Fulham	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Stoke	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Blackburn	10	4	4	2	+6	16
7	Luton	11	4	4	3	+5	16
8	Huddersfield	9	5	1	3	+4	16
9	Reading	11	5	1	5	-1	16
10	QPR	10	4	3	3	+5	15
11	Sheffield United	11	4	3	4	+3	15
12	Preston	11	3	5	3	-1	14
13	Bristol City	10	3	4	3	+0	13
14	Derby	11	3	4	4	-2	13
15	Middlesbrough	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Millwall	10	2	6	2	-1	12
17	Blackpool	10	3	3	4	-4	12
18	Birmingham	11	3	3	5	-5	12
19	Cardiff	11	3	3	5	-6	12
20	Swansea	10	2	4	4	-5	10
21	Barnsley	10	1	5	4	-6	8
22	Peterboro	10	2	2	6	-10	8
23	Peterborough	10	2	2	6	-10	8
24	Hull	10	1	3	6	-9	6
25	Nott'm Forest	9	1	2	6	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Reading	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Stoke	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Luton	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Bournemouth	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Preston	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Sheffield United	6	3	1	2	+7	10
9	Blackburn	5	3	1	1	+6	10
10	Fulham	5	3	1	1	+6	10
11	Huddersfield	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Derby	5	2	3	0	+2	9
13	QPR	5	2	2	1	+3	8
14	Peterboro	5	2	2	1	+3	8
15	Peterborough	5	2	2	1	+3	8
16	Millwall	5	2	2	1	+1	8
17	Middlesbrough	5	2	1	2	+1	7
18	Swansea	5	1	3	1	-1	6
19	Blackpool	5	2	0	3	-4	6
20	Barnsley	5	1	2	2	-2	5
21	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-3	5
22	Bristol City	5	0	4	1	-1	4
23	Cardiff	5	1	1	3	-4	4
24	Hull	5	0	2	3	-6	2
25	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Bournemouth	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Fulham	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Bristol City	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Cardiff	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	QPR	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Huddersfield	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Birmingham	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Blackpool	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Blackburn	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Luton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Middlesbrough	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Stoke	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Sheffield United	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Nott'm Forest	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Millwall	5	0	4	1	-2	4
17	Hull	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Swansea	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Derby	6	1	1	4	-4	4
20	Coventry	5	1	1	3	-7	4
21	Preston	5	0	3	2	-2	3
22	Barnsley	5	0	3	2	-4	3
23	Reading	5	1	0	4	-6	3
24	Peterboro	5	0	0	5	-13	0
25	Peterborough	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.