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Championship
Referee: J Simpson
Barnsley
S S T T S
0–0
Full-time
Millwall
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Championship · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 29%
24%
34%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 24. · Millwall 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 39 19 14 6 +26 71
2 Leeds 38 21 8 9 +24 71
3 Fulham 36 18 9 9 +13 63
4 Nott'm Forest 38 16 13 9 +10 61
5 Cardiff 38 15 14 9 +6 59
6 Brentford 36 16 9 11 +28 57
7 Preston 39 16 9 14 +3 57
8 Blackburn 38 15 11 12 +9 56
9 Swansea 37 14 14 9 +8 56
10 Bristol City 38 15 10 13 -4 55
11 Millwall 38 13 15 10 +3 54
12 Derby 38 14 12 12 +1 54
13 QPR 39 14 8 17 -6 50
14 Reading 38 13 10 15 +4 49
15 Sheffield Weds 38 13 10 15 -3 49
16 Birmingham 38 12 12 14 -9 48
17 Charlton 39 12 9 18 -8 45
18 Wigan 38 11 11 16 -10 44
19 Stoke 38 12 7 19 -6 43
20 Huddersfield 38 11 9 18 -15 42
21 Middlesbrough 38 9 14 15 -13 41
22 Hull 38 11 8 19 -15 41
23 Luton 39 11 6 22 -27 39
24 Barnsley 38 9 10 19 -19 37

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Millwall
Half-time 0–0
C. Chaplin 🔁
↦ Elliot Simões
46′
C. Styles 🔁
↦ M. Ritzmaier
60′
69′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ T. Bradshaw
Ben Williams 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Jayson Molumby
72′
🟨 Mason Bennett
L. Thomas 🔁
↦ C. Woodrow
75′
81′
🔁 R. Woods
↦ J. Molumby
81′
🔁 C. Mahoney
↦ M. Bennett
A. Halme 🔁
↦ R. Palmer
84′
Jacob Brown 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 J. Skalák
↦ S. Ferguson
90′
🔁 B. Thompson
↦ J. Wallace
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Barnsley

3-4-1-2
13 J. Walton G
18 M. Sollbauer D
6 M. Andersen D
14 K. Ludewig M
3 B. Williams D
17 M. Ritzmaier M
27 A. Mowatt M
41 R. Palmer M
9 C. Woodrow F
7 J. Brown F
28 Elliot Simões F
Bench (9)
11 C. Chaplin
20 C. Styles
16 L. Thomas
24 A. Halme
19 P. Schmidt
10 M. Bähre
2 J. Williams
22 C. Oduor
40 B. Collins

Coach: A. Murray

Millwall

3-4-3
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 S. Hutchinson D
3 M. Wallace D
12 M. Romeo M
5 J. Cooper D
6 S. Williams M
11 S. Ferguson M
7 J. Wallace F
16 J. Molumby M
9 T. Bradshaw F
20 M. Bennett F
Bench (9)
10 M. Smith
19 R. Woods
21 C. Mahoney
26 J. Skalák
8 B. Thompson
15 A. Pearce
18 R. Leonard
14 L. Steele
42 B. Mitchell

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U ✓
3,14
B
2,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Simpson · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.